Trader consensus prices Radoslaw Wojtaszek, draw, and Fabiano Caruana outcomes at even 50.5% implied probabilities entering rapid round 7 of the GCT Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin dynamics under 25+10 time controls where precision errors abound. Caruana, third in standings with 5 points from six rounds—including wins over Maxime Vachier-Lagrave and Wesley So, a loss to Vladimir Fedoseev, and recent draws—holds a rapid rating edge (2727) and world #3 FIDE ranking (2793), yet host wild card Wojtaszek (2612 rapid, 2666 FIDE) has rallied from an 0/6 start with a round-5 victory and round-6 draw versus Vachier-Lagrave, bolstered by Warsaw home crowd energy. Their head-to-head rapid history features competitive draws, amplifying draw likelihood in this round-robin volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Radoslaw Wojtaszek wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Radoslaw Wojtaszek wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Radoslaw Wojtaszek, draw, and Fabiano Caruana outcomes at even 50.5% implied probabilities entering rapid round 7 of the GCT Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin dynamics under 25+10 time controls where precision errors abound. Caruana, third in standings with 5 points from six rounds—including wins over Maxime Vachier-Lagrave and Wesley So, a loss to Vladimir Fedoseev, and recent draws—holds a rapid rating edge (2727) and world #3 FIDE ranking (2793), yet host wild card Wojtaszek (2612 rapid, 2666 FIDE) has rallied from an 0/6 start with a round-5 victory and round-6 draw versus Vachier-Lagrave, bolstered by Warsaw home crowd energy. Their head-to-head rapid history features competitive draws, amplifying draw likelihood in this round-robin volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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