In the GCT Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 rapid round-robin, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between grandmasters Vladimir Fedoseev and Radoslaw Wojtaszek, with all outcomes priced at 50.5% implied probability amid the 25+10 time control's volatility. Fedoseev co-leads after three rounds with 4 points (wins over Caruana and Firouzja after a round-1 loss to So), building on his 2025 event title defense, while Polish wildcard Wojtaszek sits at 0 points following losses to Duda, So, and Sindarov. Yet Wojtaszek's recent head-to-head edge—defeating Fedoseev in their 2025 FIDE World Cup match—coupled with home-crowd support in Warsaw, balances Fedoseev's momentum, underscoring chess's inherent unpredictability where draws abound and upsets thrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Vladimir Fedoseev wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Vladimir Fedoseev wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the GCT Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 rapid round-robin, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between grandmasters Vladimir Fedoseev and Radoslaw Wojtaszek, with all outcomes priced at 50.5% implied probability amid the 25+10 time control's volatility. Fedoseev co-leads after three rounds with 4 points (wins over Caruana and Firouzja after a round-1 loss to So), building on his 2025 event title defense, while Polish wildcard Wojtaszek sits at 0 points following losses to Duda, So, and Sindarov. Yet Wojtaszek's recent head-to-head edge—defeating Fedoseev in their 2025 FIDE World Cup match—coupled with home-crowd support in Warsaw, balances Fedoseev's momentum, underscoring chess's inherent unpredictability where draws abound and upsets thrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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