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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation

icon for World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation

Argentina 39%

Brazil 26%

Colombia 8%

Uruguay 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Argentina 39%

Brazil 26%

Colombia 8%

Uruguay 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Argentina

$6,830 Vol.

39%

Brazil

$418 Vol.

24%

Colombia

$365 Vol.

14%

Uruguay

$395 Vol.

9%

Paraguay

$1,033 Vol.

5%

Ecuador

$366 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup field features six CONMEBOL qualifiers in a tight race for deepest run, with Argentina and Brazil positioned as the clear frontrunners based on their historical pedigree, FIFA rankings, and dominant qualifying campaigns. Argentina topped the CONMEBOL table with superior goal difference and attacking depth led by established stars, while Brazil secured qualification amid roster transitions and strong recent results. Colombia, Ecuador, Uruguay, and Paraguay trail in market pricing due to solid mid-table finishes and attacking options but face steeper paths against deeper competition in the expanded 48-team format. The bunched probabilities reflect balanced squad strengths and the inherent variability of knockout progression, where recent form, injuries, and matchups can shift outcomes rapidly.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,407
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup field features six CONMEBOL qualifiers in a tight race for deepest run, with Argentina and Brazil positioned as the clear frontrunners based on their historical pedigree, FIFA rankings, and dominant qualifying campaigns. Argentina topped the CONMEBOL table with superior goal difference and attacking depth led by established stars, while Brazil secured qualification amid roster transitions and strong recent results. Colombia, Ecuador, Uruguay, and Paraguay trail in market pricing due to solid mid-table finishes and attacking options but face steeper paths against deeper competition in the expanded 48-team format. The bunched probabilities reflect balanced squad strengths and the inherent variability of knockout progression, where recent form, injuries, and matchups can shift outcomes rapidly.

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,407
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CONMEBOL that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Argentina" at 39%, followed by "Brazil" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation" is "Argentina" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brazil" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Furthest Advancing CONMEBOL Nation" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.