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Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination
Sports·Soccer

World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination

Round of 32 37%

Round of 16 25%

Group Stage 15%

Semifinals 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Round of 32 37%

Round of 16 25%

Group Stage 15%

Semifinals 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Round of 32

$10 Vol.

37%

Round of 16

$135 Vol.

19%

Group Stage

$17 Vol.

14%

Semifinals

$50 Vol.

27%

Quarterfinals

$110 Vol.

12%

Final

$642 Vol.

4%

Champion

$1,780 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Croatia is eliminated. If Croatia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Croatia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Croatia based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Croatia enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group L alongside England, Ghana, and Panama after a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign that featured an unbeaten record and direct qualification as group winners. The squad blends veterans such as 40-year-old Luka Modrić (recovering from cheekbone surgery), Ivan Perišić, and Mateo Kovačić with emerging talents like Martin Baturina and Josko Gvardiol, under coach Zlatko Dalić. Recent previews highlight concerns over squad age, limited recent major-tournament success beyond deep knockout runs in 2018 and 2022, and a challenging opener against England on June 17. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring an early exit around the Round of 32, with the competitive group stage draw and transitional roster dynamics limiting implied probabilities for deeper advancement.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Croatia is eliminated. If Croatia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Croatia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Croatia based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,745
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Croatia is eliminated. If Croatia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Croatia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Croatia based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Croatia is eliminated. If Croatia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Croatia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Croatia based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Croatia enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group L alongside England, Ghana, and Panama after a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign that featured an unbeaten record and direct qualification as group winners. The squad blends veterans such as 40-year-old Luka Modrić (recovering from cheekbone surgery), Ivan Perišić, and Mateo Kovačić with emerging talents like Martin Baturina and Josko Gvardiol, under coach Zlatko Dalić. Recent previews highlight concerns over squad age, limited recent major-tournament success beyond deep knockout runs in 2018 and 2022, and a challenging opener against England on June 17. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring an early exit around the Round of 32, with the competitive group stage draw and transitional roster dynamics limiting implied probabilities for deeper advancement.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Croatia is eliminated. If Croatia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Croatia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Croatia based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,745
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Croatia is eliminated. If Croatia wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Croatia is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Croatia based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Round of 32" at 37%, followed by "Semifinals" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination" is "Round of 32" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Semifinals" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Croatia Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.