Skip to main content
icon for World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination

Round of 32 53%

Group Stage 22%

Round of 16 15%

Quarterfinals 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Round of 32 53%

Group Stage 22%

Round of 16 15%

Quarterfinals 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Round of 32

$219 Vol.

53%

Group Stage

$464 Vol.

22%

Round of 16

$171 Vol.

15%

Quarterfinals

$260 Vol.

9%

Semifinals

$234 Vol.

3%

Final

$214 Vol.

2%

Champion

$253 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Austria is eliminated. If Austria wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Austria is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Austria based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Austria's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup features a competitive Group J alongside Argentina, Algeria, and Jordan, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to a Round of 32 exit or similar early knockout finish. Recent form under Ralf Rangnick, including strong qualifying results and friendlies against Germany and Ghana, supports expectations of advancing past the group stage, bolstered by squad continuity featuring David Alaba, Marcel Sabitzer, and Konrad Laimer. However, a late thigh injury to Christoph Baumgartner and the presence of the defending champions create meaningful barriers to deeper runs. The bunched pricing around mid-pack outcomes reflects uncertainty over group progression and the depth of opposition in the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Austria is eliminated. If Austria wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Austria is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Austria based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,815
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Austria is eliminated. If Austria wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Austria is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Austria based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Austria is eliminated. If Austria wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Austria is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Austria based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Austria's participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup features a competitive Group J alongside Argentina, Algeria, and Jordan, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to a Round of 32 exit or similar early knockout finish. Recent form under Ralf Rangnick, including strong qualifying results and friendlies against Germany and Ghana, supports expectations of advancing past the group stage, bolstered by squad continuity featuring David Alaba, Marcel Sabitzer, and Konrad Laimer. However, a late thigh injury to Christoph Baumgartner and the presence of the defending champions create meaningful barriers to deeper runs. The bunched pricing around mid-pack outcomes reflects uncertainty over group progression and the depth of opposition in the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Austria is eliminated. If Austria wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Austria is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Austria based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,815
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Austria is eliminated. If Austria wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Austria is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Austria based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Australia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Will Australia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

59%
icon for Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

34%
icon for Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Round of 32" at 54%, followed by "Group Stage" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination" is "Round of 32" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Group Stage" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Austria Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.