Tesla's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 22 drove initial trader sentiment, with net income rising 17% year-over-year to $477 million and beating analyst estimates, though revenue missed expectations due to weakening EV demand and competitive pressures from Chinese rivals. Share price volatility persisted into the week of April 27, trading between a low of approximately $364 and high near $382, with April 30 closing at $374.84 amid sideways action and elevated trading volume. Increased 2026 capital expenditure guidance—up 25% for AI, robotics, and Optimus production—bolstered long-term growth narratives but raised dilution concerns. Traders eye macroeconomic headwinds like Treasury yields and upcoming FOMC signals, alongside Q2 delivery figures due early July, as key swing factors near week-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$36,573 Vol.
↑ $427.50
2%
↑ $420
2%
↑ $412.50
3%
↑ $405
3%
↑ $397.50
7%
↑ $390
19%
↑ $382.50
65%
↓ $360
9%
↓ $352.50
2%
↓ $345
3%
↓ $337.50
3%
↓ $330
2%
$36,573 Vol.
↑ $427.50
2%
↑ $420
2%
↑ $412.50
3%
↑ $405
3%
↑ $397.50
7%
↑ $390
19%
↑ $382.50
65%
↓ $360
9%
↓ $352.50
2%
↓ $345
3%
↓ $337.50
3%
↓ $330
2%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's Q1 2026 earnings release on April 22 drove initial trader sentiment, with net income rising 17% year-over-year to $477 million and beating analyst estimates, though revenue missed expectations due to weakening EV demand and competitive pressures from Chinese rivals. Share price volatility persisted into the week of April 27, trading between a low of approximately $364 and high near $382, with April 30 closing at $374.84 amid sideways action and elevated trading volume. Increased 2026 capital expenditure guidance—up 25% for AI, robotics, and Optimus production—bolstered long-term growth narratives but raised dilution concerns. Traders eye macroeconomic headwinds like Treasury yields and upcoming FOMC signals, alongside Q2 delivery figures due early July, as key swing factors near week-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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