Trader consensus prices a Green Party mayorship win at 88.5% in the May 7, 2026, UK local elections, driven by the party's surge following its historic February parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton, where it topped Labour and gained 15,000 new members in a week. Recent polls place Greens joint-first nationally at 21%, with projections forecasting them as London's largest party, securing over 500 seats and control of multiple councils including potential strongholds like Hackney and Lewisham, both featuring directly elected mayoral races with Green candidates such as Zoe Garbett and Liam Shrivastava. Campaign launches and voter disillusionment with Labour have fueled expectations of breakthroughs in urban boroughs, though final results hinge on turnout and local factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$50,815 Vol.
$50,815 Vol.
May 7, 2026
$50,815 Vol.
$50,815 Vol.
May 7, 2026
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus prices a Green Party mayorship win at 88.5% in the May 7, 2026, UK local elections, driven by the party's surge following its historic February parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton, where it topped Labour and gained 15,000 new members in a week. Recent polls place Greens joint-first nationally at 21%, with projections forecasting them as London's largest party, securing over 500 seats and control of multiple councils including potential strongholds like Hackney and Lewisham, both featuring directly elected mayoral races with Green candidates such as Zoe Garbett and Liam Shrivastava. Campaign launches and voter disillusionment with Labour have fueled expectations of breakthroughs in urban boroughs, though final results hinge on turnout and local factors.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volume
$50,815End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus prices a Green Party mayorship win at 88.5% in the May 7, 2026, UK local elections, driven by the party's surge following its historic February parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton, where it topped Labour and gained 15,000 new members in a week. Recent polls place Greens joint-first nationally at 21%, with projections forecasting them as London's largest party, securing over 500 seats and control of multiple councils including potential strongholds like Hackney and Lewisham, both featuring directly elected mayoral races with Green candidates such as Zoe Garbett and Liam Shrivastava. Campaign launches and voter disillusionment with Labour have fueled expectations of breakthroughs in urban boroughs, though final results hinge on turnout and local factors.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volume
$50,817End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Green Party mayorship win at 88.5% in the May 7, 2026, UK local elections, driven by the party's surge following its historic February parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton, where it topped Labour and gained 15,000 new members in a week. Recent polls place Greens joint-first nationally at 21%, with projections forecasting them as London's largest party, securing over 500 seats and control of multiple councils including potential strongholds like Hackney and Lewisham, both featuring directly elected mayoral races with Green candidates such as Zoe Garbett and Liam Shrivastava. Campaign launches and voter disillusionment with Labour have fueled expectations of breakthroughs in urban boroughs, though final results hinge on turnout and local factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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