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icon for Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

icon for Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

0% chance
Polymarket
NEW
0% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 53.5% implied probability to Dua Lipa and Callum Turner tying the knot by year-end, reflecting their confirmed engagement—publicly verified by Lipa in a June 2025 British Vogue interview—balanced against the absence of an official wedding date or plans. The couple, romantically linked since early 2024 with recent joint appearances like Paris Fashion Week in January 2026, fuels optimism amid unverified reports of a potential Palermo, Italy, ceremony in June or September. High uncertainty in celebrity relationships keeps it razor-close, with swing factors including any direct announcement, social media confirmation, or public sightings with wedding details; conversely, breakup signals or prolonged silence could swing odds toward No as the deadline nears.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$760
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 53.5% implied probability to Dua Lipa and Callum Turner tying the knot by year-end, reflecting their confirmed engagement—publicly verified by Lipa in a June 2025 British Vogue interview—balanced against the absence of an official wedding date or plans. The couple, romantically linked since early 2024 with recent joint appearances like Paris Fashion Week in January 2026, fuels optimism amid unverified reports of a potential Palermo, Italy, ceremony in June or September. High uncertainty in celebrity relationships keeps it razor-close, with swing factors including any direct announcement, social media confirmation, or public sightings with wedding details; conversely, breakup signals or prolonged silence could swing odds toward No as the deadline nears.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$760
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 53% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 53¢, the market collectively assigns a 53% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" is 53% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 53% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.