**No** leads with a 77.5% market-implied probability because, despite three-plus years of steady dating and recent insider reports of aligned long-term goals, Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet show no confirmed steps toward an engagement by year-end. Sources from early 2026 noted the pair discussing marriage and children while essentially living together and appearing supportive at events like the Oscars and Knicks games, yet they continue emphasizing they are “not rushing.” Their historically private approach, combined with the absence of any ring, public proposal, or official statement through mid-June, keeps trader consensus on delay. Key upcoming catalysts include potential year-end award appearances or holiday milestones that could shift momentum if an announcement surfaces.