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icon for Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

icon for Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Lew Evans 42.3%

Shane Parton 22.9%

Doug Mason 16.1%

Rod Strozier 4.7%

Polymarket

$2,437,425 Vol.

Lew Evans 42.3%

Shane Parton 22.9%

Doug Mason 16.1%

Rod Strozier 4.7%

Polymarket

$2,437,425 Vol.

Lew Evans

$129,471 Vol.

42%

Shane Parton

$47,309 Vol.

21%

Doug Mason

$14,301 Vol.

16%

Rod Strozier

$2,172 Vol.

5%

Richard Van De Water

$1,987,102 Vol.

3%

Mike Turitto

$3,502 Vol.

1%

Christopher Wood

$1,943 Vol.

1%

Conrad Ukropina

$38,662 Vol.

1%

Trenten Merrill

$6,887 Vol.

1%

Brandon Perce

$14,805 Vol.

1%

Aaron Kahng

$87,381 Vol.

21%

Clayton Johnson

$4,821 Vol.

14%

Brad Ledford

$2,470 Vol.

1%

Johnnie LaRossa

$8,369 Vol.

47%

Kevin Montero

$3,305 Vol.

47%

Malik Evans

$13,309 Vol.

42%

Casey Hux

$15,258 Vol.

39%

Matt Carroll

$1,963 Vol.

48%

Josh Harward

$1,790 Vol.

47%

Marcus Richardson

$1,835 Vol.

39%

Michael Baba

$30,001 Vol.

47%

Ronn Perez

$20,770 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin race among frontrunners like Matt Carroll, Josh Harward, Kevin Montero, Johnnie LaRossa, Michael Baba, and Casey Hux, all hovering near 47% implied probability, driven by the absence of aired episodes after ABC shelved fully filmed Season 22 amid Taylor Frankie Paul's pre-premiere scandal. Without on-screen chemistry or hometowns/fantasy suites reveals, bettors parse contestant profiles—Utah ties for the Mormon Wives star, Instagram traction, and fragmented leaks—discounting Reality Steve's Doug Mason spoiler (16%) amid post-show breakup reports. Recent April 28 reconciliation rumors with Mason failed to shift odds, underscoring focus on final rose ceremony. Key catalyst: Disney's airing decision, with resolution to "Other" if no finale by November 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,437,425
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin race among frontrunners like Matt Carroll, Josh Harward, Kevin Montero, Johnnie LaRossa, Michael Baba, and Casey Hux, all hovering near 47% implied probability, driven by the absence of aired episodes after ABC shelved fully filmed Season 22 amid Taylor Frankie Paul's pre-premiere scandal. Without on-screen chemistry or hometowns/fantasy suites reveals, bettors parse contestant profiles—Utah ties for the Mormon Wives star, Instagram traction, and fragmented leaks—discounting Reality Steve's Doug Mason spoiler (16%) amid post-show breakup reports. Recent April 28 reconciliation rumors with Mason failed to shift odds, underscoring focus on final rose ceremony. Key catalyst: Disney's airing decision, with resolution to "Other" if no finale by November 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$2,437,425
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Carroll" at 48%, followed by "Johnnie LaRossa" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" is "Matt Carroll" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Johnnie LaRossa" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.