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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tatsuro Taira 57%

Joshua Van 45%

Kyoji Horiguchi 44.5%

Alexandre Pantoja 30%

Polymarket

$13,132 Vol.

Tatsuro Taira 57%

Joshua Van 45%

Kyoji Horiguchi 44.5%

Alexandre Pantoja 30%

Polymarket

$13,132 Vol.

Tatsuro Taira

$907 Vol.

57%

Joshua Van

$2,640 Vol.

45%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$726 Vol.

44%

Alexandre Pantoja

$5,009 Vol.

26%

Manel Kape

$924 Vol.

13%

Tim Elliott

$532 Vol.

16%

Amir Albazi

$497 Vol.

1%

Brandon Royval

$442 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Moreno

$383 Vol.

<1%

Steve Erceg

$549 Vol.

<1%

Asu Almabayev

$523 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus in the UFC Flyweight Championship market reflects a razor-thin race atop the division, with Tatsuro Taira (49%) narrowly leading champion Joshua Van (44%) and surging Kyoji Horiguchi (45.4%) due to the high-stakes implications of Van's first title defense against Taira at UFC 328. Taira's recent TKO finish of Brandon Moreno in December 2025 extended his undefeated streak and vaulted him to No. 3 in rankings, fueling optimism for an upset win that could cement his reign through year-end. Van captured the belt via fluke TKO (Pantoja arm injury) at UFC 323, while Horiguchi's dominant unanimous decision over Amir Albazi in February propelled him into contention ahead of his June clash with Manel Kape. Pantoja (26%) lags amid recovery from injury, underscoring the division's volatility with multiple elite finishers vying for shots amid frequent stylistic matchups and quick turnarounds.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$13,132
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus in the UFC Flyweight Championship market reflects a razor-thin race atop the division, with Tatsuro Taira (49%) narrowly leading champion Joshua Van (44%) and surging Kyoji Horiguchi (45.4%) due to the high-stakes implications of Van's first title defense against Taira at UFC 328. Taira's recent TKO finish of Brandon Moreno in December 2025 extended his undefeated streak and vaulted him to No. 3 in rankings, fueling optimism for an upset win that could cement his reign through year-end. Van captured the belt via fluke TKO (Pantoja arm injury) at UFC 323, while Horiguchi's dominant unanimous decision over Amir Albazi in February propelled him into contention ahead of his June clash with Manel Kape. Pantoja (26%) lags amid recovery from injury, underscoring the division's volatility with multiple elite finishers vying for shots amid frequent stylistic matchups and quick turnarounds.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$13,132
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tatsuro Taira" at 57%, followed by "Joshua Van" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $13.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Tatsuro Taira" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joshua Van" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.