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icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Man on Fire: Season 1 65%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 42%

Unchosen 25%

Straight to Hell: Season 1 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Man on Fire: Season 1 65%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 42%

Unchosen 25%

Straight to Hell: Season 1 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Man on Fire: Season 1

$164 Vol.

65%

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$25 Vol.

26%

Unchosen

$54 Vol.

25%

Straight to Hell: Season 1

$429 Vol.

22%

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

$429 Vol.

17%

Hulk Hogan: Real American

$427 Vol.

16%

Running Point: Season 2

$20 Vol.

15%

Million Dollar Secret: Season 2

$426 Vol.

9%

BEEF: Season 2

$144 Vol.

6%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus favors Man on Fire: Season 1 at 41.5% implied probability to claim the top global Netflix TV spot this week, propelled by its April 30 premiere and immediate buzz from strong early reviews praising Yahya Abdul-Mateen II's powerhouse performance as a vengeance-driven bodyguard. Positive critic scores and a high-profile trailer have sparked breakout potential amid fresh streaming metrics, positioning it to surge past incumbents as full-week views tally. Unchosen holds at 19% after dominating last week's global Top 10 with 10.4 million views, but fading momentum cedes ground to newcomers like Running Point: Season 2 (15.5%, #2 currently post-April 23 drop) and buzzy true-crime docuseries Should I Marry A Murderer? (18%). Straight to Hell: Season 1's April 27 Japanese drama release adds competition, while daily updates could shift these closely contested standings before week's end.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,113
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus favors Man on Fire: Season 1 at 41.5% implied probability to claim the top global Netflix TV spot this week, propelled by its April 30 premiere and immediate buzz from strong early reviews praising Yahya Abdul-Mateen II's powerhouse performance as a vengeance-driven bodyguard. Positive critic scores and a high-profile trailer have sparked breakout potential amid fresh streaming metrics, positioning it to surge past incumbents as full-week views tally. Unchosen holds at 19% after dominating last week's global Top 10 with 10.4 million views, but fading momentum cedes ground to newcomers like Running Point: Season 2 (15.5%, #2 currently post-April 23 drop) and buzzy true-crime docuseries Should I Marry A Murderer? (18%). Straight to Hell: Season 1's April 27 Japanese drama release adds competition, while daily updates could shift these closely contested standings before week's end.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,113
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 65%, followed by "Should I Marry A Murderer?" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Should I Marry A Murderer?" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.