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Sports·UFC

Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price

Polymarket
Michael Chiesa
Michael Chiesa
Submission
Niko Price
Niko Price
$421.91K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$388K Vol.

Totals

$21.7K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$944 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$401 Vol.

Chiesa to win by KO/TKO?

$9.0K Vol.

Price to win by KO/TKO?

$287 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$1.7K Vol.

This market will resolve to "Michael Chiesa" if Michael Chiesa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Chiesa defeats Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Niko Price defeats Michael Chiesa at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Michael Chiesa entered his UFC Seattle welterweight main card retirement bout as the heavy trader consensus favorite against Niko Price, driven by a three-fight win streak featuring dominant grappling and eight UFC submissions, contrasting Price's four-fight skid marked by knockout losses and grappling deficiencies. Price stepped in on short notice after Carlston Harris withdrew six days prior, amplifying Chiesa's stylistic edge in back attacks and rear-naked chokes against the striker's chaotic standup and poor takedown defense (0.98 per 15 minutes absorbed). No confirmed injuries disrupted preparations, with Chiesa benefiting from home-crowd energy at Climate Pledge Arena; Price's power-punching upset potential lingered but faced steep barriers from Chiesa's elite ground control.

This market will resolve to "Michael Chiesa" if Michael Chiesa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$421,909
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Michael Chiesa" if Michael Chiesa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Price vs. Chiesa” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Niko Price and the Michael Chiesa, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Chiesa is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Price at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Price vs. Chiesa” market has generated $421.9K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Price vs. Chiesa,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows NIK1 at 0¢ and MIC8 at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Price vs. Chiesa” show Michael Chiesa at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Niko Price at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Price vs. Chiesa” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price

Polymarket
Michael Chiesa
Michael Chiesa
Submission
Niko Price
Niko Price
$421.91K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$388K Vol.

Totals

$21.7K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$944 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$401 Vol.

Chiesa to win by KO/TKO?

$9.0K Vol.

Price to win by KO/TKO?

$287 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$1.7K Vol.

This market will resolve to "Michael Chiesa" if Michael Chiesa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Chiesa defeats Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Niko Price defeats Michael Chiesa at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Michael Chiesa and Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Michael Chiesa entered his UFC Seattle welterweight main card retirement bout as the heavy trader consensus favorite against Niko Price, driven by a three-fight win streak featuring dominant grappling and eight UFC submissions, contrasting Price's four-fight skid marked by knockout losses and grappling deficiencies. Price stepped in on short notice after Carlston Harris withdrew six days prior, amplifying Chiesa's stylistic edge in back attacks and rear-naked chokes against the striker's chaotic standup and poor takedown defense (0.98 per 15 minutes absorbed). No confirmed injuries disrupted preparations, with Chiesa benefiting from home-crowd energy at Climate Pledge Arena; Price's power-punching upset potential lingered but faced steep barriers from Chiesa's elite ground control.

This market will resolve to "Michael Chiesa" if Michael Chiesa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$421,909
End Date
Mar 29, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Michael Chiesa" if Michael Chiesa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Price vs. Chiesa” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Niko Price and the Michael Chiesa, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Chiesa is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Price at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Price vs. Chiesa” market has generated $421.9K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Price vs. Chiesa,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows NIK1 at 0¢ and MIC8 at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Price vs. Chiesa” show Michael Chiesa at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Niko Price at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Price vs. Chiesa” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.