Petr Yan sits atop the bantamweight division after reclaiming the title via unanimous decision over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, ending Merab’s run of multiple 2025 defenses. This positions Yan as the frontrunner for holding the belt through 2026, supported by his experience and recent form. Aiemann Zahabi’s extended win streak and upcoming bout against Sean O’Malley at UFC Freedom 250 have elevated his implied probability, as the winner could earn a high-profile title opportunity. Merab retains solid market share heading into their trilogy fight, while O’Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov remain relevant contenders based on prior championship pedigree and rankings. Lower-priced names like Song Yadong face steeper paths amid a crowded division with rapid title implications possible through 2026 defenses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 53%
Aiemann Zahabi 35.2%
Merab Dvalishvili 33%
Sean O'Malley 27%
$329,453 Vol.
$329,453 Vol.
Petr Yan
47%
Aiemann Zahabi
35%
Merab Dvalishvili
25%
Sean O'Malley
27%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Song Yadong
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Petr Yan 53%
Aiemann Zahabi 35.2%
Merab Dvalishvili 33%
Sean O'Malley 27%
$329,453 Vol.
$329,453 Vol.
Petr Yan
47%
Aiemann Zahabi
35%
Merab Dvalishvili
25%
Sean O'Malley
27%
Umar Nurmagomedov
7%
Song Yadong
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan sits atop the bantamweight division after reclaiming the title via unanimous decision over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, ending Merab’s run of multiple 2025 defenses. This positions Yan as the frontrunner for holding the belt through 2026, supported by his experience and recent form. Aiemann Zahabi’s extended win streak and upcoming bout against Sean O’Malley at UFC Freedom 250 have elevated his implied probability, as the winner could earn a high-profile title opportunity. Merab retains solid market share heading into their trilogy fight, while O’Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov remain relevant contenders based on prior championship pedigree and rankings. Lower-priced names like Song Yadong face steeper paths amid a crowded division with rapid title implications possible through 2026 defenses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions