Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 56.5% implied probability to win the Champions League semi-final second leg at Allianz Arena, driven by home advantage and Paris Saint-Germain's key absences after Achraf Hakimi's confirmed thigh injury from the 5-4 first-leg thriller in Paris. PSG also face uncertainty with goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier sidelined and midfielder Vitinha doubtful due to a heel issue, weakening their defensive structure against Bayern's potent attack led by Harry Kane and Jamal Musiala. Bayern contend with injuries to Serge Gnabry (adductor tear), Raphaël Guerreiro (hamstring), and others like Lennart Karl, but their core squad remains fit; Vincent Kompany's suspension adds intrigue, yet recent rest and crowd support bolster their edge in this high-stakes aggregate tie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 56.5% implied probability to win the Champions League semi-final second leg at Allianz Arena, driven by home advantage and Paris Saint-Germain's key absences after Achraf Hakimi's confirmed thigh injury from the 5-4 first-leg thriller in Paris. PSG also face uncertainty with goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier sidelined and midfielder Vitinha doubtful due to a heel issue, weakening their defensive structure against Bayern's potent attack led by Harry Kane and Jamal Musiala. Bayern contend with injuries to Serge Gnabry (adductor tear), Raphaël Guerreiro (hamstring), and others like Lennart Karl, but their core squad remains fit; Vincent Kompany's suspension adds intrigue, yet recent rest and crowd support bolster their edge in this high-stakes aggregate tie.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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