Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads at 38% and CDU follows at 25%—a 13-point gap well ahead of Die Linke (13%), BSW (5%), and others below 6%. The latest INSA poll from mid-March confirmed this positioning amid minor AfD dips from January highs. Recent April developments, including AfD candidate vote-buying allegations, record right-wing politically motivated crimes, and Landtag reforms by non-AfD parties to prevent obstruction, have yet to alter polling trends or erode CDU's distant second-place hold under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. No major shifts in the past 30 days sustain the wide margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 87%
AfD 5%
BSW 2.0%
The Left 1.8%
$43,658 Vol.
$43,658 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
CDU
87%
AfD
5%
BSW
2%
The Left
2%
FDP
1%
The Greens
1%
SPD
<1%
CDU 87%
AfD 5%
BSW 2.0%
The Left 1.8%
$43,658 Vol.
$43,658 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
CDU
$16,285 Vol.
87%
AfD
$887 Vol.
5%
BSW
$833 Vol.
2%
The Left
$911 Vol.
2%
FDP
$1,777 Vol.
1%
The Greens
$935 Vol.
1%
SPD
$22,031 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads at 38% and CDU follows at 25%—a 13-point gap well ahead of Die Linke (13%), BSW (5%), and others below 6%. The latest INSA poll from mid-March confirmed this positioning amid minor AfD dips from January highs. Recent April developments, including AfD candidate vote-buying allegations, record right-wing politically motivated crimes, and Landtag reforms by non-AfD parties to prevent obstruction, have yet to alter polling trends or erode CDU's distant second-place hold under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. No major shifts in the past 30 days sustain the wide margins.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$43,658End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads at 38% and CDU follows at 25%—a 13-point gap well ahead of Die Linke (13%), BSW (5%), and others below 6%. The latest INSA poll from mid-March confirmed this positioning amid minor AfD dips from January highs. Recent April developments, including AfD candidate vote-buying allegations, record right-wing politically motivated crimes, and Landtag reforms by non-AfD parties to prevent obstruction, have yet to alter polling trends or erode CDU's distant second-place hold under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. No major shifts in the past 30 days sustain the wide margins.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$43,658End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices CDU at 87% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where AfD leads at 38% and CDU follows at 25%—a 13-point gap well ahead of Die Linke (13%), BSW (5%), and others below 6%. The latest INSA poll from mid-March confirmed this positioning amid minor AfD dips from January highs. Recent April developments, including AfD candidate vote-buying allegations, record right-wing politically motivated crimes, and Landtag reforms by non-AfD parties to prevent obstruction, have yet to alter polling trends or erode CDU's distant second-place hold under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze. No major shifts in the past 30 days sustain the wide margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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