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Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Logan Henderson 43%

Didier Fuentes 39%

Sal Stewart 39%

Nolan McLean 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Logan Henderson 43%

Didier Fuentes 39%

Sal Stewart 39%

Nolan McLean 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Logan Henderson

$5 Vol.

43%

Didier Fuentes

$5 Vol.

39%

Sal Stewart

$167 Vol.

39%

Nolan McLean

$1,574 Vol.

22%

JJ Wetherholt

$256 Vol.

19%

Bubba Chandler

$135 Vol.

14%

Andrew Painter

$277 Vol.

11%

Konnor Griffin

$195 Vol.

11%

Justin Crawford

$105 Vol.

10%

Rhett Lowder

$5 Vol.

10%

Ryan Waldschmidt

$5 Vol.

10%

Moises Ballesteros

$199 Vol.

10%

Owen Caissie

$5 Vol.

10%

Carson Benge

$5 Vol.

9%

Bryce Eldridge

$127 Vol.

9%

Jonah Tong

$5 Vol.

9%

Charlie Condon

$5 Vol.

9%

Zac Veen

$5 Vol.

9%

Jett Williams

$5 Vol.

9%

Robby Snelling

$5 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sal Stewart has surged to the top of trader consensus for NL Rookie of the Year with a 41.5% implied probability, fueled by his explosive early-season dominance for the Cincinnati Reds—including a .303 average, nine home runs, 29 RBI (second-most among rookies pre-May), and a 1.024 OPS through 27 games, capped by National League Player of the Week honors and a diving grab on April 30. Pittsburgh Pirates ace Bubba Chandler (26.5%) trails closely after adding a new pitch and leveraging his top-prospect pedigree in recent starts, while Mets outfielder Carson Benge (24.5%) builds momentum from his March debut homer and spring hot streak. The pack remains tight with Didier Fuentes, Logan Henderson, and JJ Wetherholt—all around 20-24%—as minor-league call-ups and hot streaks keep the race fluid; traders eye May performances and sustained plate appearances ahead of BBWAA voting.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,090
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sal Stewart has surged to the top of trader consensus for NL Rookie of the Year with a 41.5% implied probability, fueled by his explosive early-season dominance for the Cincinnati Reds—including a .303 average, nine home runs, 29 RBI (second-most among rookies pre-May), and a 1.024 OPS through 27 games, capped by National League Player of the Week honors and a diving grab on April 30. Pittsburgh Pirates ace Bubba Chandler (26.5%) trails closely after adding a new pitch and leveraging his top-prospect pedigree in recent starts, while Mets outfielder Carson Benge (24.5%) builds momentum from his March debut homer and spring hot streak. The pack remains tight with Didier Fuentes, Logan Henderson, and JJ Wetherholt—all around 20-24%—as minor-league call-ups and hot streaks keep the race fluid; traders eye May performances and sustained plate appearances ahead of BBWAA voting.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,090
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sal Stewart" at 39%, followed by "Logan Henderson" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is "Sal Stewart" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Logan Henderson" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.