Skip to main content
icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 41%

Munetaka Murakami 40%

Max Clark 25%

Leo De Vries 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Kevin McGonigle 41%

Munetaka Murakami 40%

Max Clark 25%

Leo De Vries 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Kevin McGonigle

$0 Vol.

41%

Munetaka Murakami

$6 Vol.

40%

Max Clark

$0 Vol.

25%

Leo De Vries

$50 Vol.

24%

Carson Williams

$0 Vol.

24%

Carlos Lagrange

$0 Vol.

23%

Walker Jenkins

$0 Vol.

22%

Dylan Beavers

$0 Vol.

21%

Chase DeLauter

$165 Vol.

9%

Carter Jensen

$100 Vol.

8%

Trey Yesavage

$0 Vol.

8%

Samuel Basallo

$0 Vol.

8%

Travis Bazzana

$0 Vol.

8%

Kazuma Okamoto

$19 Vol.

6%

Connelly Early

$0 Vol.

6%

Payton Tolle

$0 Vol.

6%

Colt Emerson

$0 Vol.

6%

Tatsuya Imai

$132 Vol.

5%

Brice Matthews

$0 Vol.

5%

Spencer Jones

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tigers shortstop Kevin McGonigle leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for AL Rookie of the Year thanks to his scorching .327 batting average, .936 OPS, and top WAR among rookies through 30 games, showcasing elite on-base skills and consistent extra-base hits. White Sox first baseman Munetaka Murakami trails narrowly at 39.5% after surging with MLB-leading 12 home runs, a 1.020 OPS, and a franchise-record five-game homer streak ending last week, generating massive voter buzz despite a .256 average. Max Clark's .301 Triple-A slash line positions the Tigers duo strongly, while the early-season volatility—balancing rate stats, counting stats like RBI, and debut impacts—fuels the bunched field, with no clear separation amid prospect call-ups looming.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$472
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tigers shortstop Kevin McGonigle leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for AL Rookie of the Year thanks to his scorching .327 batting average, .936 OPS, and top WAR among rookies through 30 games, showcasing elite on-base skills and consistent extra-base hits. White Sox first baseman Munetaka Murakami trails narrowly at 39.5% after surging with MLB-leading 12 home runs, a 1.020 OPS, and a franchise-record five-game homer streak ending last week, generating massive voter buzz despite a .256 average. Max Clark's .301 Triple-A slash line positions the Tigers duo strongly, while the early-season volatility—balancing rate stats, counting stats like RBI, and debut impacts—fuels the bunched field, with no clear separation amid prospect call-ups looming.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$472
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

42%
icon for Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

36%
icon for Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

27%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin McGonigle" at 41%, followed by "Munetaka Murakami" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is "Kevin McGonigle" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Munetaka Murakami" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.