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Sports·Perfect Game

MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

icon for MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
Sports·Perfect Game

MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

25% chance
Polymarket
NEW
25% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a perfect game—27 consecutive outs with no baserunners—at 54.5% implied probability for the 2026 MLB season, reflecting early near-misses like Paul Skenes carrying a bid into the seventh inning and Nolan McLean's two perfect outings through five innings, including one versus the Twins on April 21. This flurry amid dominant starts from Cy Young contenders such as Tarik Skubal and Cristopher Sánchez has fueled optimism despite no perfect games since 2023 and zero no-hitters in 2025. The closely contested odds balance historical rarity (just 24 in MLB annals) against over 4,000 remaining starts in a 162-game slate, with aces' health, bullpen depth, and offensive trends poised to sway sentiment further.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,087
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a perfect game—27 consecutive outs with no baserunners—at 54.5% implied probability for the 2026 MLB season, reflecting early near-misses like Paul Skenes carrying a bid into the seventh inning and Nolan McLean's two perfect outings through five innings, including one versus the Twins on April 21. This flurry amid dominant starts from Cy Young contenders such as Tarik Skubal and Cristopher Sánchez has fueled optimism despite no perfect games since 2023 and zero no-hitters in 2025. The closely contested odds balance historical rarity (just 24 in MLB annals) against over 4,000 remaining starts in a 162-game slate, with aces' health, bullpen depth, and offensive trends poised to sway sentiment further.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,087
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 25% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 25¢, the market collectively assigns a 25% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" is 25% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 25% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.