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icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Shohei Ohtani 43%

Juan Soto 14%

Bryce Harper 7.5%

Mookie Betts 7.2%

Polymarket

$116,292 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani 43%

Juan Soto 14%

Bryce Harper 7.5%

Mookie Betts 7.2%

Polymarket

$116,292 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$4,723 Vol.

43%

Juan Soto

$30,153 Vol.

14%

Bryce Harper

$84 Vol.

8%

Mookie Betts

$84 Vol.

7%

Kyle Schwarber

$80,458 Vol.

5%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$173 Vol.

24%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$88 Vol.

10%

Francisco Lindor

$172 Vol.

8%

Ketel Marte

$127 Vol.

1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$231 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Shohei Ohtani at 44% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award due to his .897 OPS, six home runs, and 13 RBIs through 31 games, highlighted by a three-hit outburst on April 28 that ended a slow-start slump and reinforced his top spot in mid-April hitter power rankings. Fernando Tatis Jr. and Ronald Acuña Jr. trail at around 20% amid sub-.260 batting averages, zero and two homers respectively, and lagging OPS figures (.609 and .728), reflecting early-season struggles. Juan Soto's 15.5% share persists despite a right calf strain landing him on the injured list since early April, limiting plate appearances. Veterans like Bryce Harper and Francisco Lindor hold steady at 8% each on consistent production and lineup protection, while the Dodgers' potent offense boosts Ohtani and Mookie Betts' paths to RBI volume.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$116,292
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Shohei Ohtani at 44% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award due to his .897 OPS, six home runs, and 13 RBIs through 31 games, highlighted by a three-hit outburst on April 28 that ended a slow-start slump and reinforced his top spot in mid-April hitter power rankings. Fernando Tatis Jr. and Ronald Acuña Jr. trail at around 20% amid sub-.260 batting averages, zero and two homers respectively, and lagging OPS figures (.609 and .728), reflecting early-season struggles. Juan Soto's 15.5% share persists despite a right calf strain landing him on the injured list since early April, limiting plate appearances. Veterans like Bryce Harper and Francisco Lindor hold steady at 8% each on consistent production and lineup protection, while the Dodgers' potent offense boosts Ohtani and Mookie Betts' paths to RBI volume.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$116,292
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 43%, followed by "Ronald Acuña Jr." at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" has generated $116.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronald Acuña Jr." at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.