Skip to main content
icon for MLB: AL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Derek Shelton 30%

Mark Kotsay 28%

Skip Schumaker 28%

Stephen Vogt 27%

Polymarket

$28,302 Vol.

Derek Shelton 30%

Mark Kotsay 28%

Skip Schumaker 28%

Stephen Vogt 27%

Polymarket

$28,302 Vol.

Derek Shelton

$0 Vol.

30%

Mark Kotsay

$0 Vol.

28%

Skip Schumaker

$0 Vol.

28%

Stephen Vogt

$0 Vol.

27%

Aaron Boone

$0 Vol.

27%

Kevin Cash

$5,904 Vol.

27%

Matt Quatraro

$0 Vol.

26%

Will Venable

$0 Vol.

26%

Joe Espada

$0 Vol.

26%

A.J. Hinch

$0 Vol.

25%

Craig Albernaz

$2,640 Vol.

25%

Kurt Suzuki

$0 Vol.

24%

John Schneider

$0 Vol.

9%

Dan Wilson

$5,759 Vol.

7%

Alex Cora

$13,998 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-tight AL Manager of the Year race, with top probabilities clustered between 25-30% for Derek Shelton, Kevin Cash, Mark Kotsay, Skip Schumaker, and Stephen Vogt, underscoring the parity in early-season overachievement across the American League. The New York Yankees top the AL East at 20-11 under Aaron Boone, while Kevin Cash's Rays sit 18-12 via elite bullpen management and low-payroll efficiency; Mark Kotsay's Athletics hover near .500 in the AL West despite rebuild constraints. Recent developments like the Rays' sweep of Shelton's Twins last weekend and Joe Espada's Astros snapping a skid with a five-game win streak have kept momentum fluid, preventing any single manager from separating amid balanced division standings and roster health challenges.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,302
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-tight AL Manager of the Year race, with top probabilities clustered between 25-30% for Derek Shelton, Kevin Cash, Mark Kotsay, Skip Schumaker, and Stephen Vogt, underscoring the parity in early-season overachievement across the American League. The New York Yankees top the AL East at 20-11 under Aaron Boone, while Kevin Cash's Rays sit 18-12 via elite bullpen management and low-payroll efficiency; Mark Kotsay's Athletics hover near .500 in the AL West despite rebuild constraints. Recent developments like the Rays' sweep of Shelton's Twins last weekend and Joe Espada's Astros snapping a skid with a five-game win streak have kept momentum fluid, preventing any single manager from separating amid balanced division standings and roster health challenges.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,302
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

31%
icon for Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

28%
icon for Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

52%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Derek Shelton" at 30%, followed by "Mark Kotsay" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" has generated $28.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is "Derek Shelton" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mark Kotsay" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.