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Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 AL MVP
Sports·Baseball

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Yordan Alvarez 42.3%

Bobby Witt Jr. 20%

Ben Rice 10.1%

Nick Kurtz 7.9%

Polymarket

$121,015 Vol.

Yordan Alvarez 42.3%

Bobby Witt Jr. 20%

Ben Rice 10.1%

Nick Kurtz 7.9%

Polymarket

$121,015 Vol.

Yordan Alvarez

$4,663 Vol.

34%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$5,626 Vol.

20%

Ben Rice

$1,435 Vol.

9%

Nick Kurtz

$2,435 Vol.

8%

Julio Rodriguez

$42,237 Vol.

2%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$1,650 Vol.

2%

Jose Ramirez

$1,168 Vol.

1%

Cal Raleigh

$166 Vol.

1%

Gunnar Henderson

$26,038 Vol.

1%

Aaron Judge

$7,524 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$107 Vol.

1%

Corey Seager

$27,965 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez holds the clearest edge in the 2026 AL MVP market after posting elite power numbers, including a 1.09-plus OPS, 22-plus home runs, and strong RBI totals through mid-June that have vaulted him ahead in expert polls. Bobby Witt Jr. trails as the primary alternative thanks to his all-around profile, combining solid batting average, stolen bases, and defensive value at shortstop for one of the higher WAR marks among position players. Aaron Judge’s recent rib stress fracture has sharply reduced his implied probability, shifting focus to Yankees teammate Ben Rice and Athletics slugger Nick Kurtz as next-tier options. The market pricing reflects Alvarez’s offensive surge and the wide-open race created by the injury to the prior frontrunner.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$121,015
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez holds the clearest edge in the 2026 AL MVP market after posting elite power numbers, including a 1.09-plus OPS, 22-plus home runs, and strong RBI totals through mid-June that have vaulted him ahead in expert polls. Bobby Witt Jr. trails as the primary alternative thanks to his all-around profile, combining solid batting average, stolen bases, and defensive value at shortstop for one of the higher WAR marks among position players. Aaron Judge’s recent rib stress fracture has sharply reduced his implied probability, shifting focus to Yankees teammate Ben Rice and Athletics slugger Nick Kurtz as next-tier options. The market pricing reflects Alvarez’s offensive surge and the wide-open race created by the injury to the prior frontrunner.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$121,015
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 34%, followed by "Bobby Witt Jr." at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " has generated $121K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL MVP ," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " is "Yordan Alvarez" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bobby Witt Jr." at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL MVP " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.