Ben Rice tops trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP thanks to his scorching early-season pace, ranking top-three in MLB home runs (10), OBP, SLG, and wRC+ through late April while posting elite Statcast metrics like 97th-percentile average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. The Yankees' AL East lead at 20-11 amplifies his value on a contender, building on his strong 2025 transition to everyday first base. Aaron Judge trails at 37% with 12 homers and a 1.037 OPS but a slower .262 average, while Yordan Alvarez's healthy, .347/.466/.779 slash sustains 24.6% odds amid Astros' competitiveness. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson linger lower as recent form lags behind Rice's breakout momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Judge 43%
Ben Rice 25%
Yordan Alvarez 24.6%
Bobby Witt Jr. 12%
$46,298 Vol.
$46,298 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Aaron Judge
36%
Ben Rice
25%
Yordan Alvarez
25%
Bobby Witt Jr.
12%
Gunnar Henderson
8%
Mike Trout
8%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
7%
Jose Ramirez
7%
Cal Raleigh
6%
Corey Seager
2%
Julio Rodriguez
1%
Aaron Judge 43%
Ben Rice 25%
Yordan Alvarez 24.6%
Bobby Witt Jr. 12%
$46,298 Vol.
$46,298 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Aaron Judge
$449 Vol.
36%
Ben Rice
$0 Vol.
25%
Yordan Alvarez
$948 Vol.
25%
Bobby Witt Jr.
$1,257 Vol.
12%
Gunnar Henderson
$194 Vol.
8%
Mike Trout
$85 Vol.
8%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
$1,515 Vol.
7%
Jose Ramirez
$86 Vol.
7%
Cal Raleigh
$85 Vol.
6%
Corey Seager
$311 Vol.
2%
Julio Rodriguez
$41,368 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ben Rice tops trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP thanks to his scorching early-season pace, ranking top-three in MLB home runs (10), OBP, SLG, and wRC+ through late April while posting elite Statcast metrics like 97th-percentile average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. The Yankees' AL East lead at 20-11 amplifies his value on a contender, building on his strong 2025 transition to everyday first base. Aaron Judge trails at 37% with 12 homers and a 1.037 OPS but a slower .262 average, while Yordan Alvarez's healthy, .347/.466/.779 slash sustains 24.6% odds amid Astros' competitiveness. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson linger lower as recent form lags behind Rice's breakout momentum.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Volume
$46,298End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ben Rice tops trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP thanks to his scorching early-season pace, ranking top-three in MLB home runs (10), OBP, SLG, and wRC+ through late April while posting elite Statcast metrics like 97th-percentile average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. The Yankees' AL East lead at 20-11 amplifies his value on a contender, building on his strong 2025 transition to everyday first base. Aaron Judge trails at 37% with 12 homers and a 1.037 OPS but a slower .262 average, while Yordan Alvarez's healthy, .347/.466/.779 slash sustains 24.6% odds amid Astros' competitiveness. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson linger lower as recent form lags behind Rice's breakout momentum.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,298End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ben Rice tops trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP thanks to his scorching early-season pace, ranking top-three in MLB home runs (10), OBP, SLG, and wRC+ through late April while posting elite Statcast metrics like 97th-percentile average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. The Yankees' AL East lead at 20-11 amplifies his value on a contender, building on his strong 2025 transition to everyday first base. Aaron Judge trails at 37% with 12 homers and a 1.037 OPS but a slower .262 average, while Yordan Alvarez's healthy, .347/.466/.779 slash sustains 24.6% odds amid Astros' competitiveness. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson linger lower as recent form lags behind Rice's breakout momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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