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Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Walt Weiss 27%

Don Kelly 20%

Terry Francona 13%

Dave Roberts 10%

Polymarket

$15,828 Vol.

Walt Weiss 27%

Don Kelly 20%

Terry Francona 13%

Dave Roberts 10%

Polymarket

$15,828 Vol.

Walt Weiss

$0 Vol.

27%

Don Kelly

$38 Vol.

20%

Terry Francona

$2,740 Vol.

13%

Dave Roberts

$0 Vol.

10%

Craig Stammen

$0 Vol.

7%

Carlos Mendoza

$10,043 Vol.

5%

Pat Murphy

$0 Vol.

5%

Torey Lovullo

$0 Vol.

5%

Craig Counsell

$0 Vol.

4%

Blake Butera

$0 Vol.

4%

Clayton McCullough

$0 Vol.

3%

Warren Schaeffer

$3,007 Vol.

3%

Rob Thomson

$0 Vol.

3%

Tony Vitello

$0 Vol.

3%

Oliver Marmol

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Atlanta Braves manager Walt Weiss leads Polymarket's NL Manager of the Year market at 26.5% implied probability, driven by his team's NL-best 22-10 record through early May, featuring dominant pitching from Chris Sale and airtight defense that has swept series without a blemish. Pittsburgh Pirates' Don Kelly trails closely at 20%, buoyed by a respectable 16-16 start for a squad with modest expectations, leveraging his local roots and interim success from 2025 to build momentum in a stacked NL Central. Cincinnati Reds' Terry Francona (12.5%) and Dodgers' Dave Roberts (9.5%) round out contenders amid the Reds' 20-11 surge with a young roster and LA's steady 20-11 pace. With probabilities tightly clustered below 30%, trader consensus highlights early-season overachievement narratives over raw wins, but sustained division leads, playoff pushes, and injury avoidance will be pivotal swing factors as the long MLB grind unfolds.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,828
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Atlanta Braves manager Walt Weiss leads Polymarket's NL Manager of the Year market at 26.5% implied probability, driven by his team's NL-best 22-10 record through early May, featuring dominant pitching from Chris Sale and airtight defense that has swept series without a blemish. Pittsburgh Pirates' Don Kelly trails closely at 20%, buoyed by a respectable 16-16 start for a squad with modest expectations, leveraging his local roots and interim success from 2025 to build momentum in a stacked NL Central. Cincinnati Reds' Terry Francona (12.5%) and Dodgers' Dave Roberts (9.5%) round out contenders amid the Reds' 20-11 surge with a young roster and LA's steady 20-11 pace. With probabilities tightly clustered below 30%, trader consensus highlights early-season overachievement narratives over raw wins, but sustained division leads, playoff pushes, and injury avoidance will be pivotal swing factors as the long MLB grind unfolds.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,828
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Walt Weiss" at 27%, followed by "Don Kelly" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" has generated $15.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Walt Weiss" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don Kelly" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.