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icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Shohei Ohtani 62%

Andy Pages 19%

Corbin Carroll 18%

Elly De La Cruz 7.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Shohei Ohtani 62%

Andy Pages 19%

Corbin Carroll 18%

Elly De La Cruz 7.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Shohei Ohtani

$3,608 Vol.

62%

Andy Pages

$0 Vol.

19%

Corbin Carroll

$0 Vol.

18%

Elly De La Cruz

$124 Vol.

7%

Juan Soto

$1,572 Vol.

6%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$192 Vol.

5%

Kyle Tucker

$188 Vol.

5%

Francisco Lindor

$248 Vol.

4%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$86 Vol.

3%

Bryce Harper

$146 Vol.

3%

Mookie Betts

$73 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus crowns Shohei Ohtani the clear NL MVP frontrunner at 61.5% implied probability, fueled by his electric two-way start for the Dodgers—boasting a 0.60 ERA over 30 innings with 34 strikeouts in five starts alongside a .273 average, six homers, and .897 OPS at the plate. Corbin Carroll trails at 19% after a scorching April surge for the Diamondbacks (.278 average, three homers, 17 RBIs, .922 OPS, four steals), while breakout Dodger outfielder Andy Pages commands 17% with a league-top-10 .321 average, five homers, and 25 RBIs. Juan Soto's return from early IL stint bolsters Mets hopes at 6.5%, but Ohtani's superstar narrative and historical MVP pedigree dominate sentiment amid the long season ahead, with May matchups key to sustaining momentum.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,238
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus crowns Shohei Ohtani the clear NL MVP frontrunner at 61.5% implied probability, fueled by his electric two-way start for the Dodgers—boasting a 0.60 ERA over 30 innings with 34 strikeouts in five starts alongside a .273 average, six homers, and .897 OPS at the plate. Corbin Carroll trails at 19% after a scorching April surge for the Diamondbacks (.278 average, three homers, 17 RBIs, .922 OPS, four steals), while breakout Dodger outfielder Andy Pages commands 17% with a league-top-10 .321 average, five homers, and 25 RBIs. Juan Soto's return from early IL stint bolsters Mets hopes at 6.5%, but Ohtani's superstar narrative and historical MVP pedigree dominate sentiment amid the long season ahead, with May matchups key to sustaining momentum.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,238
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 62%, followed by "Andy Pages" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL MVP," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Pages" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.