The recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey without locating any MH370 wreckage has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind the 98.8% implied probability for "No." That effort, spanning targeted zones in the southern Indian Ocean and wrapping in late January, followed years of prior unsuccessful campaigns and left no confirmed debris or signals. With the company's contract set to expire at the end of June and southern hemisphere winter conditions making immediate resumption impractical, no active underwater operations are underway in the narrow window before the deadline. While families continue pressing for extensions, realistic upset scenarios would require an unexpected new search launch and rapid discovery within weeks—an outcome historical patterns and current logistics render highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
$119,885 Vol.
$119,885 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$119,885 Vol.
$119,885 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey without locating any MH370 wreckage has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind the 98.8% implied probability for "No." That effort, spanning targeted zones in the southern Indian Ocean and wrapping in late January, followed years of prior unsuccessful campaigns and left no confirmed debris or signals. With the company's contract set to expire at the end of June and southern hemisphere winter conditions making immediate resumption impractical, no active underwater operations are underway in the narrow window before the deadline. While families continue pressing for extensions, realistic upset scenarios would require an unexpected new search launch and rapid discovery within weeks—an outcome historical patterns and current logistics render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Volume
$119,885End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey without locating any MH370 wreckage has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind the 98.8% implied probability for "No." That effort, spanning targeted zones in the southern Indian Ocean and wrapping in late January, followed years of prior unsuccessful campaigns and left no confirmed debris or signals. With the company's contract set to expire at the end of June and southern hemisphere winter conditions making immediate resumption impractical, no active underwater operations are underway in the narrow window before the deadline. While families continue pressing for extensions, realistic upset scenarios would require an unexpected new search launch and rapid discovery within weeks—an outcome historical patterns and current logistics render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$119,885End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent conclusion of Ocean Infinity's extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey without locating any MH370 wreckage has driven the overwhelming trader consensus behind the 98.8% implied probability for "No." That effort, spanning targeted zones in the southern Indian Ocean and wrapping in late January, followed years of prior unsuccessful campaigns and left no confirmed debris or signals. With the company's contract set to expire at the end of June and southern hemisphere winter conditions making immediate resumption impractical, no active underwater operations are underway in the narrow window before the deadline. While families continue pressing for extensions, realistic upset scenarios would require an unexpected new search launch and rapid discovery within weeks—an outcome historical patterns and current logistics render highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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