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Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 32%

France 25%

Denmark 18%

Finland 15%

Polymarket

$2,007,965 Vol.

Australia 32%

France 25%

Denmark 18%

Finland 15%

Polymarket

$2,007,965 Vol.

Australia

$66,484 Vol.

32%

France

$42,542 Vol.

25%

Denmark

$48,214 Vol.

18%

Finland

$56,367 Vol.

15%

Czechia

$163,219 Vol.

2%

Malta

$133,048 Vol.

2%

Greece

$83,541 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$100,694 Vol.

1%

Israel

$73,579 Vol.

1%

Ukraine

$30,822 Vol.

1%

Romania

$45,153 Vol.

1%

Italy

$60,175 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$53,191 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$50,453 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$53,749 Vol.

1%

Germany

$87,640 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$30,296 Vol.

1%

Azerbaijan

$33,492 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$96,091 Vol.

<1%

Poland

$69,956 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$27,736 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$48,979 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$40,547 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$40,388 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$29,770 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$62,848 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$33,045 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$29,581 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$40,656 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$41,794 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$34,695 Vol.

<1%

Albania

$32,406 Vol.

<1%

United Kingdom

$56,307 Vol.

<1%

Austria

$79,153 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$32,304 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by strong early momentum in the influential Eurojury simulation, where it trails Denmark and Finland (both 157 points) and France (137 points) as of April 29 after 27 national juries voted. Recent points hauls—from Poland's 12 to Australia, Sweden's 6—highlight its sophisticated pop appeal and Goodrem's industry stature, differentiating it amid closely contested entries like Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Finland's duo Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), and France's Monroe ("Regarde!"). With no overwhelming precursor dominance, key swing factors include remaining Eurojury tallies, Vienna rehearsals, and guild-like voter preferences for vocal prowess and staging, as juries historically reward polished performers over televote flash.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$2,007,965
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by strong early momentum in the influential Eurojury simulation, where it trails Denmark and Finland (both 157 points) and France (137 points) as of April 29 after 27 national juries voted. Recent points hauls—from Poland's 12 to Australia, Sweden's 6—highlight its sophisticated pop appeal and Goodrem's industry stature, differentiating it amid closely contested entries like Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), Finland's duo Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), and France's Monroe ("Regarde!"). With no overwhelming precursor dominance, key swing factors include remaining Eurojury tallies, Vienna rehearsals, and guild-like voter preferences for vocal prowess and staging, as juries historically reward polished performers over televote flash.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$2,007,965
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 32%, followed by "France" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.