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icon for Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

icon for Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Finland 64%

Denmark 26%

Sweden 10%

Iceland <1%

Polymarket

$38,706 Vol.

Finland 64%

Denmark 26%

Sweden 10%

Iceland <1%

Polymarket

$38,706 Vol.

Finland

$7,398 Vol.

64%

Denmark

$15,006 Vol.

26%

Sweden

$12,529 Vol.

10%

Iceland

$1,664 Vol.

1%

Norway

$2,109 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, victorious at UMK 2026 in late February, has solidified trader consensus as the Nordic frontrunner at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by its haunting melody blending power ballad elements with broad jury and televote appeal—dominating bookmaker odds and Shazam charts while shining in pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert. Denmark's emotive "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard, crowned at Dansk Melodi Grand Prix earlier that month, holds steady at 25.5% as a strong contender with similar emotional resonance. Sweden trails at 10.5% amid mixed reception to its Melodifestivalen entry, while Norway and Iceland linger near 0.5% due to weaker national final showings and Iceland's withdrawal. First rehearsal clips and simulated Eurojury results this April have reinforced Finland's momentum, though full rehearsals and the May contest remain pivotal swing factors.

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest.

For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$38,706
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, victorious at UMK 2026 in late February, has solidified trader consensus as the Nordic frontrunner at 63.5% implied probability, propelled by its haunting melody blending power ballad elements with broad jury and televote appeal—dominating bookmaker odds and Shazam charts while shining in pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert. Denmark's emotive "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard, crowned at Dansk Melodi Grand Prix earlier that month, holds steady at 25.5% as a strong contender with similar emotional resonance. Sweden trails at 10.5% amid mixed reception to its Melodifestivalen entry, while Norway and Iceland linger near 0.5% due to weaker national final showings and Iceland's withdrawal. First rehearsal clips and simulated Eurojury results this April have reinforced Finland's momentum, though full rehearsals and the May contest remain pivotal swing factors.

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest.

For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$38,706
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 64%, followed by "Denmark" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" has generated $38.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" is "Finland" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.