xAI's Grok models have shown incremental gains on the demanding FrontierMath benchmark, which features unpublished, research-level math problems where even leading systems like early Grok variants and o1-preview scored below 2% in initial evaluations. Grok-3 mini recently posted one of the stronger results at 6%, while Grok 4 variants hover in the low-to-mid teens in select Tier 4 tests amid competition from GPT-5 Pro and Gemini derivatives. With the June 30 resolution deadline just weeks away and no confirmed xAI model release or Epoch AI re-evaluation scheduled, trader sentiment hinges on whether ongoing training runs or tool-augmented inference can push scores higher before cutoff, in a landscape where math reasoning advances remain uneven across frontier labs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$21,913 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models have shown incremental gains on the demanding FrontierMath benchmark, which features unpublished, research-level math problems where even leading systems like early Grok variants and o1-preview scored below 2% in initial evaluations. Grok-3 mini recently posted one of the stronger results at 6%, while Grok 4 variants hover in the low-to-mid teens in select Tier 4 tests amid competition from GPT-5 Pro and Gemini derivatives. With the June 30 resolution deadline just weeks away and no confirmed xAI model release or Epoch AI re-evaluation scheduled, trader sentiment hinges on whether ongoing training runs or tool-augmented inference can push scores higher before cutoff, in a landscape where math reasoning advances remain uneven across frontier labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$21,913Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models have shown incremental gains on the demanding FrontierMath benchmark, which features unpublished, research-level math problems where even leading systems like early Grok variants and o1-preview scored below 2% in initial evaluations. Grok-3 mini recently posted one of the stronger results at 6%, while Grok 4 variants hover in the low-to-mid teens in select Tier 4 tests amid competition from GPT-5 Pro and Gemini derivatives. With the June 30 resolution deadline just weeks away and no confirmed xAI model release or Epoch AI re-evaluation scheduled, trader sentiment hinges on whether ongoing training runs or tool-augmented inference can push scores higher before cutoff, in a landscape where math reasoning advances remain uneven across frontier labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$21,913Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models have shown incremental gains on the demanding FrontierMath benchmark, which features unpublished, research-level math problems where even leading systems like early Grok variants and o1-preview scored below 2% in initial evaluations. Grok-3 mini recently posted one of the stronger results at 6%, while Grok 4 variants hover in the low-to-mid teens in select Tier 4 tests amid competition from GPT-5 Pro and Gemini derivatives. With the June 30 resolution deadline just weeks away and no confirmed xAI model release or Epoch AI re-evaluation scheduled, trader sentiment hinges on whether ongoing training runs or tool-augmented inference can push scores higher before cutoff, in a landscape where math reasoning advances remain uneven across frontier labs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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