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Economía·Bienes Inmuebles

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?
Economía·Bienes Inmuebles

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?

>$495k 34%

< $481k 31%

$490k - $493k 17%

$484k - $487k 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

>$495k 34%

< $481k 31%

$490k - $493k 17%

$484k - $487k 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$481k - $484k

$139 Vol.

13%

$484k - $487k

$200 Vol.

13%

$493,000 - $495,000

$149 Vol.

14%

$490k - $493k

$123 Vol.

17%

>$495k

$400 Vol.

34%

$487k - $490k

$144 Vol.

16%

< $481k

$398 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market correction continues to shape trader positioning for the June 30 median home value, with elevated inventory, selective buyer demand, and mortgage rates near 6.5% pressuring prices amid a post-pandemic normalization. Recent May 2026 data from Zillow and Redfin show typical values near $495,000–$510,000 with year-over-year declines of 2–5%, while median sales prices range from $440,000 metro-wide to $542,000 in the city proper, reflecting slower absorption and seasonal summer activity. The tight spread between >$495k and <$481k outcomes underscores uncertainty around short-term stabilization versus further softening before month-end, with traders weighing local employment trends and any late June listing or pending-sales updates against broader Texas market softness.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volumen
$1,555
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market correction continues to shape trader positioning for the June 30 median home value, with elevated inventory, selective buyer demand, and mortgage rates near 6.5% pressuring prices amid a post-pandemic normalization. Recent May 2026 data from Zillow and Redfin show typical values near $495,000–$510,000 with year-over-year declines of 2–5%, while median sales prices range from $440,000 metro-wide to $542,000 in the city proper, reflecting slower absorption and seasonal summer activity. The tight spread between >$495k and <$481k outcomes underscores uncertainty around short-term stabilization versus further softening before month-end, with traders weighing local employment trends and any late June listing or pending-sales updates against broader Texas market softness.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volumen
$1,555
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">$495k" con 34%, seguido de "< $481k" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" es ">$495k" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "< $481k" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.