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icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?

>$495k 50%

$481k - $484k 10%

$493,000 - $495,000 10%

$490k - $493k 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

>$495k 50%

$481k - $484k 10%

$493,000 - $495,000 10%

$490k - $493k 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$481k - $484k

$139 Vol.

23%

$484k - $487k

$173 Vol.

13%

$493,000 - $495,000

$149 Vol.

15%

$490k - $493k

$123 Vol.

24%

>$495k

$400 Vol.

36%

$487k - $490k

$144 Vol.

13%

< $481k

$398 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show Austin metro typical home values near $495,000–$511,000 through May 2026, reflecting a 3–6% year-over-year decline amid elevated mortgage rates near 6% and rising inventory that has lengthened days on market. This cooling follows the post-2022 correction, with higher supply and selective buyer demand creating downward pressure on median values as June 30 approaches. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between sub-$481,000 and above-$495,000 outcomes because seasonal summer activity and any late-month data revisions could shift the final reading within the narrow bands, underscoring how interest-rate stability and local supply dynamics continue to shape near-term housing valuations.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volumen
$1,528
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show Austin metro typical home values near $495,000–$511,000 through May 2026, reflecting a 3–6% year-over-year decline amid elevated mortgage rates near 6% and rising inventory that has lengthened days on market. This cooling follows the post-2022 correction, with higher supply and selective buyer demand creating downward pressure on median values as June 30 approaches. Trader sentiment remains closely divided between sub-$481,000 and above-$495,000 outcomes because seasonal summer activity and any late-month data revisions could shift the final reading within the narrow bands, underscoring how interest-rate stability and local supply dynamics continue to shape near-term housing valuations.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Volumen
$1,528
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "< $481k" con 42%, seguido de ">$495k" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" es "< $481k" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es ">$495k" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.