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icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

$606k - $613k 42%

$613k - $620k 18%

>$620k 12%

$599k - $606k 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$606k - $613k 42%

$613k - $620k 18%

>$620k 12%

$599k - $606k 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$599k - $606k

$502 Vol.

9%

<$585k

$77 Vol.

6%

$606k - $613k

$135 Vol.

42%

$585k - $592k

$77 Vol.

6%

$592k - $599k

$86 Vol.

5%

$613k - $620k

$90 Vol.

32%

>$620k

$79 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent May 2026 housing data from Redfin and PropertyShark show NYC median sale prices holding steady near $775,000–$876,000 with 3–6% year-over-year gains, driven by chronically tight inventory and resilient demand in core boroughs. Mortgage rates near 6.1–6.4% continue to constrain affordability yet support price stability rather than sharp declines, while luxury segments exhibit stronger momentum from limited new supply. Trader consensus clustering around the $606k–$620k bands reflects these steady trends into late June, tempered by potential seasonal softening or any near-term shifts in financing costs ahead of the June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Volumen
$1,047
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent May 2026 housing data from Redfin and PropertyShark show NYC median sale prices holding steady near $775,000–$876,000 with 3–6% year-over-year gains, driven by chronically tight inventory and resilient demand in core boroughs. Mortgage rates near 6.1–6.4% continue to constrain affordability yet support price stability rather than sharp declines, while luxury segments exhibit stronger momentum from limited new supply. Trader consensus clustering around the $606k–$620k bands reflects these steady trends into late June, tempered by potential seasonal softening or any near-term shifts in financing costs ahead of the June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Volumen
$1,047
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$606k - $613k" con 42%, seguido de "$613k - $620k" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" es "$606k - $613k" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$613k - $620k" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.