Trader consensus gives a slight 56% implied probability to President Trump's approval rating rising this week, despite recent polls hitting second-term lows around 37-39% amid escalating concerns over inflation, rising gas prices from the Iran war, and economic handling. Nate Silver's April 30 average stands at 39% approve/58% disapprove, following surveys like Ipsos (34%, April 24-27) and YouGov (37%), reflecting a downtrend through late April driven by cost-of-living net approval at -40. This closely contested pricing highlights potential rebound factors, including historical approval volatility after bottoms, sacking of Attorney General Pam Bondi boosting crime handling perceptions, and anticipation of Federal Reserve signals on interest rates that could ease economic pressures ahead of 2026 midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?
¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?
Subió
$1,680 Vol.
$1,680 Vol.
1 may 2026
Subió
$1,680 Vol.
$1,680 Vol.
1 may 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus gives a slight 56% implied probability to President Trump's approval rating rising this week, despite recent polls hitting second-term lows around 37-39% amid escalating concerns over inflation, rising gas prices from the Iran war, and economic handling. Nate Silver's April 30 average stands at 39% approve/58% disapprove, following surveys like Ipsos (34%, April 24-27) and YouGov (37%), reflecting a downtrend through late April driven by cost-of-living net approval at -40. This closely contested pricing highlights potential rebound factors, including historical approval volatility after bottoms, sacking of Attorney General Pam Bondi boosting crime handling perceptions, and anticipation of Federal Reserve signals on interest rates that could ease economic pressures ahead of 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volumen
$1,680Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus gives a slight 56% implied probability to President Trump's approval rating rising this week, despite recent polls hitting second-term lows around 37-39% amid escalating concerns over inflation, rising gas prices from the Iran war, and economic handling. Nate Silver's April 30 average stands at 39% approve/58% disapprove, following surveys like Ipsos (34%, April 24-27) and YouGov (37%), reflecting a downtrend through late April driven by cost-of-living net approval at -40. This closely contested pricing highlights potential rebound factors, including historical approval volatility after bottoms, sacking of Attorney General Pam Bondi boosting crime handling perceptions, and anticipation of Federal Reserve signals on interest rates that could ease economic pressures ahead of 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 24, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$1,686Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives a slight 56% implied probability to President Trump's approval rating rising this week, despite recent polls hitting second-term lows around 37-39% amid escalating concerns over inflation, rising gas prices from the Iran war, and economic handling. Nate Silver's April 30 average stands at 39% approve/58% disapprove, following surveys like Ipsos (34%, April 24-27) and YouGov (37%), reflecting a downtrend through late April driven by cost-of-living net approval at -40. This closely contested pricing highlights potential rebound factors, including historical approval volatility after bottoms, sacking of Attorney General Pam Bondi boosting crime handling perceptions, and anticipation of Federal Reserve signals on interest rates that could ease economic pressures ahead of 2026 midterms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes