YouGov's tracker for Keir Starmer's performance as Prime Minister ticked up to 22% approval among all adults on April 20, surpassing the 21% baseline from March 23 and meeting the market's "Up" resolution criteria for the first post-baseline data point by April 30. This narrow gain aligns with a slight stabilization in trader consensus, as net favourability improved marginally to -45 in April from -48 in March per YouGov, despite persistent headwinds including economic pressures, the Peter Mandelson vetting controversy, and Reform UK's polling lead over Labour. With no further declines in late April polling and the metric already exceeding the threshold, traders price overwhelming confidence in an "Up" outcome, though final YouGov confirmation could still influence resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoStarmer approval Up or Down in April?
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?
Sube
$2,264 Vol.
$2,264 Vol.
Sube
$2,264 Vol.
$2,264 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...YouGov's tracker for Keir Starmer's performance as Prime Minister ticked up to 22% approval among all adults on April 20, surpassing the 21% baseline from March 23 and meeting the market's "Up" resolution criteria for the first post-baseline data point by April 30. This narrow gain aligns with a slight stabilization in trader consensus, as net favourability improved marginally to -45 in April from -48 in March per YouGov, despite persistent headwinds including economic pressures, the Peter Mandelson vetting controversy, and Reform UK's polling lead over Labour. With no further declines in late April polling and the metric already exceeding the threshold, traders price overwhelming confidence in an "Up" outcome, though final YouGov confirmation could still influence resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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