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icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur
Elecciones·Primaria Del Senado

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur
Elecciones·Primaria Del Senado

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur

Mike Rounds 96.2%

Justin McNeal 2.6%

Kristi Noem 1.4%

Polymarket

$21,833 Vol.

Mike Rounds 96.2%

Justin McNeal 2.6%

Kristi Noem 1.4%

Polymarket

$21,833 Vol.

Mike Rounds

$5,510 Vol.

96%

Justin McNeal

$14,077 Vol.

3%

Kristi Noem

$2,245 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 96.3% implied probability on Polymarket as the Republican primary nominee on June 2, 2026, driven by a dominant Mason-Dixon poll from April 7–11 showing him at 66% against challenger Justin McNeal's 18%, with 20% undecided. Rounds benefits from incumbency since 2015, a Trump endorsement, and overwhelming fundraising—$3.8 million raised versus McNeal's $1,500 as of late March—reflecting trader consensus on his path to victory or avoidance of a July 28 runoff under South Dakota's 35% threshold rule. Kristi Noem's 1.4% lingers from earlier speculation post her DHS exit, but she has not filed. Upsets would require a Rounds scandal or McNeal surge via undecideds, though structural advantages make this improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$21,833
Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds holds a commanding 96.3% implied probability on Polymarket as the Republican primary nominee on June 2, 2026, driven by a dominant Mason-Dixon poll from April 7–11 showing him at 66% against challenger Justin McNeal's 18%, with 20% undecided. Rounds benefits from incumbency since 2015, a Trump endorsement, and overwhelming fundraising—$3.8 million raised versus McNeal's $1,500 as of late March—reflecting trader consensus on his path to victory or avoidance of a July 28 runoff under South Dakota's 35% threshold rule. Kristi Noem's 1.4% lingers from earlier speculation post her DHS exit, but she has not filed. Upsets would require a Rounds scandal or McNeal surge via undecideds, though structural advantages make this improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$21,833
Fecha de finalización
28 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Rounds" con 96%, seguido de "Justin McNeal" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" ha generado $21.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" es "Mike Rounds" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Justin McNeal" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.