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Elecciones·Primarias

SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Elecciones·Primarias

SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Mark Smith 50%

Jack Ellison 22.9%

Alex Pelbath 22%

Jay Byars 18.9%

Polymarket

$10,517 Vol.

Mark Smith 50%

Jack Ellison 22.9%

Alex Pelbath 22%

Jay Byars 18.9%

Polymarket

$10,517 Vol.

Mark Smith

$2,995 Vol.

49%

Jack Ellison

$592 Vol.

23%

Alex Pelbath

$2,140 Vol.

22%

Jay Byars

$619 Vol.

19%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$592 Vol.

10%

Sam McCown

$1,818 Vol.

7%

Logan Cunningham

$671 Vol.

1%

Justin Myers

$536 Vol.

1%

Dan Brown

$554 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability to win South Carolina's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, propelled by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll victory capturing 34.1%—edging Alex Pelbath—and a subsequent Beaufort County GOP straw poll win at 50%, alongside top fundraising with over $726,000 raised and cash-on-hand superiority as of late March. Jack Ellison trails closely at 46.5%, buoyed by his Lowcountry roots and U.S. Army veteran status appealing to grassroots voters in this open-seat race vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid. The nine-candidate field's fragmentation favors frontrunners, with no formal polls yet; endorsements like GOPAC bolster Smith amid intensifying pre-primary campaigning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,517
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability to win South Carolina's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, propelled by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll victory capturing 34.1%—edging Alex Pelbath—and a subsequent Beaufort County GOP straw poll win at 50%, alongside top fundraising with over $726,000 raised and cash-on-hand superiority as of late March. Jack Ellison trails closely at 46.5%, buoyed by his Lowcountry roots and U.S. Army veteran status appealing to grassroots voters in this open-seat race vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid. The nine-candidate field's fragmentation favors frontrunners, with no formal polls yet; endorsements like GOPAC bolster Smith amid intensifying pre-primary campaigning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,517
Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mark Smith" con 49%, seguido de "Jack Ellison" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $10.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Mark Smith" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jack Ellison" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.