The overwhelming market consensus favoring "No" stems from the International Astronomical Union's established 2006 criteria—requiring a body to clear its orbital neighborhood—which Pluto does not meet as a Kuiper Belt object. No IAU general assembly or formal vote is scheduled before June 30, 2026, and recent comments from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman about revisiting the issue reflect internal scientific papers rather than imminent policy shifts or new observational data. While debates persist over the definition's geophysical merits, any reclassification would demand coordinated international review unlikely to conclude in the remaining weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Plutón reclasificado como planeta para el 30 de junio?
Sí
$31,024 Vol.
$31,024 Vol.
Sí
$31,024 Vol.
$31,024 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The overwhelming market consensus favoring "No" stems from the International Astronomical Union's established 2006 criteria—requiring a body to clear its orbital neighborhood—which Pluto does not meet as a Kuiper Belt object. No IAU general assembly or formal vote is scheduled before June 30, 2026, and recent comments from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman about revisiting the issue reflect internal scientific papers rather than imminent policy shifts or new observational data. While debates persist over the definition's geophysical merits, any reclassification would demand coordinated international review unlikely to conclude in the remaining weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes