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icon for ¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?
Política·EE. UU. X Irán

¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?
Política·EE. UU. X Irán

¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?

abr 30

may 31

jun 30

dic 31

abr 30

may 31

jun 30

dic 31

Sí

42% probabilidad
Polymarket

$200,914 Vol.

Sí

42% probabilidad
Polymarket

$200,914 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains in his role amid an escalating Iran war, testifying before House and Senate committees on April 29-30, 2026, to defend a proposed $1.5 trillion Fiscal Year 2027 Pentagon budget—a 40% increase—and U.S. military strategy. These appearances, his first since the conflict began, featured sharp exchanges with Democrats over costs and President Trump's fitness, alongside Republican concerns over recent high-profile firings, including Navy Secretary John Phelan on April 22 and Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George earlier in April. Reports of eroding Senate GOP confidence have surfaced, yet no resignation signals or formal removal efforts from the White House have emerged, anchoring trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability he serves through December 31 via strong administration backing and wartime continuity needs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$200,914
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remains in his role amid an escalating Iran war, testifying before House and Senate committees on April 29-30, 2026, to defend a proposed $1.5 trillion Fiscal Year 2027 Pentagon budget—a 40% increase—and U.S. military strategy. These appearances, his first since the conflict began, featured sharp exchanges with Democrats over costs and President Trump's fitness, alongside Republican concerns over recent high-profile firings, including Navy Secretary John Phelan on April 22 and Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George earlier in April. Reports of eroding Senate GOP confidence have surfaced, yet no resignation signals or formal removal efforts from the White House have emerged, anchoring trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability he serves through December 31 via strong administration backing and wartime continuity needs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$200,914
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Pete Hegseth dejará de ser Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 42%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $200.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "¿Pete Hegseth dejará de ser Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Pete Hegseth como Secretario de Defensa antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.