State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary at 50.3% trader consensus, buoyed by late-April endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon, Oregon Right to Life, and media profiles highlighting his bipartisan legislative record on rural priorities like wildfire prevention via Senate Bill 872 and estate tax exclusions for farming properties under Senate Bill 498—positioning him as the strongest general election challenger to incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 38.5%, drawing on name recognition from prior campaigns but facing skepticism over electability in the closely contested field. With the May 19 primary approaching amid low expected turnout, fragmented support for lower-tier candidates like Russell McAlmond underscores the high-stakes duel between these frontrunners, where momentum from endorsements and social media presence drives Smith's edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDavid Brock Smith 50.6%
Jo Rae Perkins 39%
Russell McAlmond 3.5%
Joe Johnson 2.1%
$79,654 Vol.
$79,654 Vol.
David Brock Smith
51%
Jo Rae Perkins
39%
Russell McAlmond
3%
Joe Johnson
2%
David Burch
2%
Tim Skelton
2%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
David Brock Smith 50.6%
Jo Rae Perkins 39%
Russell McAlmond 3.5%
Joe Johnson 2.1%
$79,654 Vol.
$79,654 Vol.
David Brock Smith
51%
Jo Rae Perkins
39%
Russell McAlmond
3%
Joe Johnson
2%
David Burch
2%
Tim Skelton
2%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary at 50.3% trader consensus, buoyed by late-April endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon, Oregon Right to Life, and media profiles highlighting his bipartisan legislative record on rural priorities like wildfire prevention via Senate Bill 872 and estate tax exclusions for farming properties under Senate Bill 498—positioning him as the strongest general election challenger to incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 38.5%, drawing on name recognition from prior campaigns but facing skepticism over electability in the closely contested field. With the May 19 primary approaching amid low expected turnout, fragmented support for lower-tier candidates like Russell McAlmond underscores the high-stakes duel between these frontrunners, where momentum from endorsements and social media presence drives Smith's edge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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