Rep. Kevin Hern's 90.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his commanding position to succeed Sen. Markwayne Mullin, whose March nomination as DHS Secretary opened the Class II seat. Trump's swift endorsement after Hern's March 11 announcement prompted Gov. Kevin Stitt and Rep. Stephanie Bice to withdraw, bolstering Hern's fundraising lead of over $2 million in cash on hand and securing nods from Senate Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Tim Scott, and Club for Growth. The April filing deadline produced a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers like Wayne Lonny Washington. With no major developments in the past 30 days, odds remain firm ahead of the June 16 primary, though a scandal, legal challenge, or late health issue could disrupt Hern's path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Oklahoma
Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Oklahoma
Kevin Hern 90%
Wayne Lonny Washington 2.1%
Ron Meinhardt 1.3%
Stephanie Bice 1.0%
$58,606 Vol.
$58,606 Vol.
Kevin Hern
90%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
<1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
John M. O’Connor
<1%
Nick Hankins
<1%
Tammy Swearengin
<1%
Matt Pinnell
<1%
Kevin Hern 90%
Wayne Lonny Washington 2.1%
Ron Meinhardt 1.3%
Stephanie Bice 1.0%
$58,606 Vol.
$58,606 Vol.
Kevin Hern
90%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
<1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
John M. O’Connor
<1%
Nick Hankins
<1%
Tammy Swearengin
<1%
Matt Pinnell
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern's 90.5% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary reflects trader consensus on his commanding position to succeed Sen. Markwayne Mullin, whose March nomination as DHS Secretary opened the Class II seat. Trump's swift endorsement after Hern's March 11 announcement prompted Gov. Kevin Stitt and Rep. Stephanie Bice to withdraw, bolstering Hern's fundraising lead of over $2 million in cash on hand and securing nods from Senate Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Tim Scott, and Club for Growth. The April filing deadline produced a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers like Wayne Lonny Washington. With no major developments in the past 30 days, odds remain firm ahead of the June 16 primary, though a scandal, legal challenge, or late health issue could disrupt Hern's path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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