Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the next flagship Pro model after shipping 3.5 Flash, with Sundar Pichai explicitly stating it would reach users “next month.” This announcement, combined with Google’s pattern of iterative 3.x releases following developer previews, drives the 51.5% market-implied odds on a June 30 release—the latest plausible date before the cutoff—while “no release by June 30” sits at 19.4%. Traders appear to weigh the lack of a firm calendar date or pre-release benchmarks against typical Google timelines that favor end-of-month drops once internal polishing for reasoning and agentic capabilities concludes. No major new signals have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment away from June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado30 de junio 50%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio 19.4%
23 de junio 14%
18 de junio 4%
$121,854 Vol.
$121,854 Vol.
30 jun 2026
14 de junio
1%
15 de junio
<1%
16 de junio
2%
17 de junio
1%
18 de junio
4%
19 de junio
1%
20 de junio
1%
21 de junio
1%
22 de junio
1%
23 de junio
14%
24 de junio
1%
25 de junio
<1%
26 de junio
4%
27 de junio
<1%
28 de junio
1%
29 de junio
<1%
30 de junio
50%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio
19%
30 de junio 50%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio 19.4%
23 de junio 14%
18 de junio 4%
$121,854 Vol.
$121,854 Vol.
30 jun 2026
14 de junio
$2,635 Vol.
1%
15 de junio
$1,939 Vol.
<1%
16 de junio
$3,411 Vol.
2%
17 de junio
$3,532 Vol.
1%
18 de junio
$2,597 Vol.
4%
19 de junio
$2,548 Vol.
1%
20 de junio
$1,629 Vol.
1%
21 de junio
$1,501 Vol.
1%
22 de junio
$5,731 Vol.
1%
23 de junio
$5,578 Vol.
14%
24 de junio
$4,023 Vol.
1%
25 de junio
$2,371 Vol.
<1%
26 de junio
$4,557 Vol.
4%
27 de junio
$2,019 Vol.
<1%
28 de junio
$1,416 Vol.
1%
29 de junio
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
30 de junio
$6,635 Vol.
50%
No se lanzará antes del 30 de junio
$18,337 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the next flagship Pro model after shipping 3.5 Flash, with Sundar Pichai explicitly stating it would reach users “next month.” This announcement, combined with Google’s pattern of iterative 3.x releases following developer previews, drives the 51.5% market-implied odds on a June 30 release—the latest plausible date before the cutoff—while “no release by June 30” sits at 19.4%. Traders appear to weigh the lack of a firm calendar date or pre-release benchmarks against typical Google timelines that favor end-of-month drops once internal polishing for reasoning and agentic capabilities concludes. No major new signals have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment away from June.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volumen
$121,854Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the next flagship Pro model after shipping 3.5 Flash, with Sundar Pichai explicitly stating it would reach users “next month.” This announcement, combined with Google’s pattern of iterative 3.x releases following developer previews, drives the 51.5% market-implied odds on a June 30 release—the latest plausible date before the cutoff—while “no release by June 30” sits at 19.4%. Traders appear to weigh the lack of a firm calendar date or pre-release benchmarks against typical Google timelines that favor end-of-month drops once internal polishing for reasoning and agentic capabilities concludes. No major new signals have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment away from June.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$121,854Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro as the next flagship Pro model after shipping 3.5 Flash, with Sundar Pichai explicitly stating it would reach users “next month.” This announcement, combined with Google’s pattern of iterative 3.x releases following developer previews, drives the 51.5% market-implied odds on a June 30 release—the latest plausible date before the cutoff—while “no release by June 30” sits at 19.4%. Traders appear to weigh the lack of a firm calendar date or pre-release benchmarks against typical Google timelines that favor end-of-month drops once internal polishing for reasoning and agentic capabilities concludes. No major new signals have emerged in the past week to shift sentiment away from June.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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