Trader consensus favors Robert Charles at 46% implied probability to win Maine's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his early polling lead—28% in a February Pan Atlantic survey—and national profile as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State, positioning him ahead in a crowded field amid ranked-choice voting where second preferences could prove decisive. Ben Midgley has closed the gap to 26.5% following his victory in the Maine GOP straw poll of nearly 700 participants on April 18, capturing 31.9% to Charles's 29.5%, signaling grassroots momentum for the conservative businessman. Jonathan Bush trails closely at 23.4%, bolstered by topping Republican fundraising as of late April reports, while lower-tier candidates like Ken Capron lag due to limited visibility. With scant recent polling, the race remains fluid ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRobert Charles 46%
Ben Midgely 27%
Jonathan Bush 23.2%
Ken Capron 6.4%
$16,385 Vol.
$16,385 Vol.
Robert Charles
46%
Ben Midgely
27%
Jonathan Bush
23%
Ken Capron
6%
Owen McCarthy
1%
James Libby
1%
David Jones
<1%
Robert Wessels
<1%
Robert Charles 46%
Ben Midgely 27%
Jonathan Bush 23.2%
Ken Capron 6.4%
$16,385 Vol.
$16,385 Vol.
Robert Charles
46%
Ben Midgely
27%
Jonathan Bush
23%
Ken Capron
6%
Owen McCarthy
1%
James Libby
1%
David Jones
<1%
Robert Wessels
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Robert Charles at 46% implied probability to win Maine's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 9, driven by his early polling lead—28% in a February Pan Atlantic survey—and national profile as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State, positioning him ahead in a crowded field amid ranked-choice voting where second preferences could prove decisive. Ben Midgley has closed the gap to 26.5% following his victory in the Maine GOP straw poll of nearly 700 participants on April 18, capturing 31.9% to Charles's 29.5%, signaling grassroots momentum for the conservative businessman. Jonathan Bush trails closely at 23.4%, bolstered by topping Republican fundraising as of late April reports, while lower-tier candidates like Ken Capron lag due to limited visibility. With scant recent polling, the race remains fluid ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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