Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1,000-1,200 tweets for Elon Musk's May 2026 X posting volume, with 1160-1199 leading at 12.4% implied probability, reflecting his consistent high-engagement cadence of 35-40 posts daily—mirroring April's resolution near 1,050 and March's 1,320+ peak averaging over 42 per day. The closely matched top bins (1080-1119 at 10.6%, 1040-1079 at 8.1%) underscore competitive dynamics driven by variability: late-April's dip to a 26-post daily average tempers upside, while historical spikes from SpaceX launches, xAI/Grok announcements, Tesla updates, or viral political commentary could push higher. Early May pacing and major news catalysts will differentiate outcomes in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1160-1199 12.4%
1080-1119 10.9%
1040-1079 8.1%
1120-1159 7.6%
$507,383 Vol.
$507,383 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
2%
800-839
4%
840-879
3%
880-919
5%
920-959
4%
960-999
7%
1000-1039
7%
1040-1079
8%
1080-1119
11%
1120-1159
8%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
7%
1240-1279
4%
1280-1319
4%
1320-1359
4%
1360-1399
2%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
2%
1520-1559
2%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1160-1199 12.4%
1080-1119 10.9%
1040-1079 8.1%
1120-1159 7.6%
$507,383 Vol.
$507,383 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
2%
800-839
4%
840-879
3%
880-919
5%
920-959
4%
960-999
7%
1000-1039
7%
1040-1079
8%
1080-1119
11%
1120-1159
8%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
7%
1240-1279
4%
1280-1319
4%
1320-1359
4%
1360-1399
2%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
2%
1520-1559
2%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1,000-1,200 tweets for Elon Musk's May 2026 X posting volume, with 1160-1199 leading at 12.4% implied probability, reflecting his consistent high-engagement cadence of 35-40 posts daily—mirroring April's resolution near 1,050 and March's 1,320+ peak averaging over 42 per day. The closely matched top bins (1080-1119 at 10.6%, 1040-1079 at 8.1%) underscore competitive dynamics driven by variability: late-April's dip to a 26-post daily average tempers upside, while historical spikes from SpaceX launches, xAI/Grok announcements, Tesla updates, or viral political commentary could push higher. Early May pacing and major news catalysts will differentiate outcomes in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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