Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market clusters around 140-179 posts (top bins at 17.5% for 160-179 and 16.2% for 140-159), reflecting a cautious outlook amid a slow start to the April 28-May 5 window—just 18 posts logged by April 30 afternoon (29-43% time elapsed), averaging under 10 daily versus his prior week's 23-post benchmark from the April 24-May 1 period. This early lag fuels tight competition between moderate and higher buckets, with swing factors including Musk's volatile daily rhythms (historical highs of 40-80+ amid SpaceX successes or X updates) and catalysts like the May 5 X advertising upgrade launch, plus ongoing Tesla and rocket buzz that could spike engagement before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado160-179 17.5%
140-159 16.3%
180-199 13.8%
120-139 13.2%
$4,459,784 Vol.
$4,459,784 Vol.
5 may 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
9%
120-139
13%
140-159
16%
160-179
18%
180-199
14%
200-219
12%
220-239
8%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 17.5%
140-159 16.3%
180-199 13.8%
120-139 13.2%
$4,459,784 Vol.
$4,459,784 Vol.
5 may 2026
<20
$384,577 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$209,151 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$255,640 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$418,953 Vol.
1%
80-99
$346,164 Vol.
5%
100-119
$201,963 Vol.
9%
120-139
$188,970 Vol.
13%
140-159
$183,985 Vol.
16%
160-179
$162,349 Vol.
18%
180-199
$138,504 Vol.
14%
200-219
$100,501 Vol.
12%
220-239
$104,271 Vol.
8%
240-259
$102,946 Vol.
3%
260-279
$102,430 Vol.
2%
280-299
$107,599 Vol.
1%
300-319
$114,708 Vol.
1%
320-339
$107,979 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$132,247 Vol.
1%
360-379
$122,884 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$214,513 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$173,460 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$120,781 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$114,685 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$111,428 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$116,123 Vol.
<1%
500+
$123,180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market clusters around 140-179 posts (top bins at 17.5% for 160-179 and 16.2% for 140-159), reflecting a cautious outlook amid a slow start to the April 28-May 5 window—just 18 posts logged by April 30 afternoon (29-43% time elapsed), averaging under 10 daily versus his prior week's 23-post benchmark from the April 24-May 1 period. This early lag fuels tight competition between moderate and higher buckets, with swing factors including Musk's volatile daily rhythms (historical highs of 40-80+ amid SpaceX successes or X updates) and catalysts like the May 5 X advertising upgrade launch, plus ongoing Tesla and rocket buzz that could spike engagement before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$4,459,784Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market clusters around 140-179 posts (top bins at 17.5% for 160-179 and 16.2% for 140-159), reflecting a cautious outlook amid a slow start to the April 28-May 5 window—just 18 posts logged by April 30 afternoon (29-43% time elapsed), averaging under 10 daily versus his prior week's 23-post benchmark from the April 24-May 1 period. This early lag fuels tight competition between moderate and higher buckets, with swing factors including Musk's volatile daily rhythms (historical highs of 40-80+ amid SpaceX successes or X updates) and catalysts like the May 5 X advertising upgrade launch, plus ongoing Tesla and rocket buzz that could spike engagement before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,459,784Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posting market clusters around 140-179 posts (top bins at 17.5% for 160-179 and 16.2% for 140-159), reflecting a cautious outlook amid a slow start to the April 28-May 5 window—just 18 posts logged by April 30 afternoon (29-43% time elapsed), averaging under 10 daily versus his prior week's 23-post benchmark from the April 24-May 1 period. This early lag fuels tight competition between moderate and higher buckets, with swing factors including Musk's volatile daily rhythms (historical highs of 40-80+ amid SpaceX successes or X updates) and catalysts like the May 5 X advertising upgrade launch, plus ongoing Tesla and rocket buzz that could spike engagement before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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