Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count for April 28–May 5 clusters tightly around 160–199 at over 30% combined implied probability, reflecting his consistent mid-20s daily rhythm—26 posts per day per xtracker data from overlapping periods—projecting roughly 180 total amid recent variability. A sluggish start with just 18 countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only) through April 30 morning stems from court obligations in the escalating OpenAI trial against Sam Altman, tempering early momentum after April 28's 22 posts. Key differentiators include potential spikes from viral political commentary, SpaceX Falcon Heavy triumphs, or Tesla updates versus lulls during legal duties; with five days left, blockbuster announcements could propel toward 200+ or solidify mid-170s frontrunners as public sentiment tracks his cultural flashpoints.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado160-179 18.1%
180-199 16.4%
140-159 15.6%
200-219 14%
$3,010,753 Vol.
$3,010,753 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
4%
100-119
7%
120-139
11%
140-159
16%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200-219
14%
220-239
8%
240-259
5%
260-279
2%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 18.1%
180-199 16.4%
140-159 15.6%
200-219 14%
$3,010,753 Vol.
$3,010,753 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
4%
100-119
7%
120-139
11%
140-159
16%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200-219
14%
220-239
8%
240-259
5%
260-279
2%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post count for April 28–May 5 clusters tightly around 160–199 at over 30% combined implied probability, reflecting his consistent mid-20s daily rhythm—26 posts per day per xtracker data from overlapping periods—projecting roughly 180 total amid recent variability. A sluggish start with just 18 countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only) through April 30 morning stems from court obligations in the escalating OpenAI trial against Sam Altman, tempering early momentum after April 28's 22 posts. Key differentiators include potential spikes from viral political commentary, SpaceX Falcon Heavy triumphs, or Tesla updates versus lulls during legal duties; with five days left, blockbuster announcements could propel toward 200+ or solidify mid-170s frontrunners as public sentiment tracks his cultural flashpoints.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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