Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026 at 97.2% implied probability, driven by xTracker data logging approximately 1023 non-reply posts as of late April 30, leaving mere hours for the month to close. This aligns with Musk's consistent April pace of 25-35 daily posts, punctuated by spikes like 38 on April 27 amid his high-profile OpenAI trial testimony and 43 on April 23 amid viral engagements. Skin-in-the-game bettors see the range as locked barring an anomalous final-hour tweet storm exceeding 56 posts or a drastic slowdown under 17, both diverging sharply from his established posting rhythm and cultural event responsiveness.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1040-1079 97.2%
1080-1119 1.6%
1120-1159 <1%
1000-1039 <1%
$13,435,343 Vol.
$13,435,343 Vol.
1 may 2026
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
97%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1040-1079 97.2%
1080-1119 1.6%
1120-1159 <1%
1000-1039 <1%
$13,435,343 Vol.
$13,435,343 Vol.
1 may 2026
1000-1039
$461,487 Vol.
<1%
1040-1079
$563,608 Vol.
97%
1080-1119
$526,739 Vol.
2%
1120-1159
$545,927 Vol.
<1%
1160-1199
$1,012,133 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$484,546 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$210,871 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$228,246 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$336,291 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$266,299 Vol.
<1%
1400-1439
$588,788 Vol.
<1%
1440-1479
$135,165 Vol.
<1%
1480-1519
$118,357 Vol.
<1%
1520-1559
$129,434 Vol.
<1%
1560-1599
$148,253 Vol.
<1%
1600-1679
$133,420 Vol.
<1%
1680-1759
$177,484 Vol.
<1%
1760-1839
$132,715 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$182,603 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$61,808 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$50,133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026 at 97.2% implied probability, driven by xTracker data logging approximately 1023 non-reply posts as of late April 30, leaving mere hours for the month to close. This aligns with Musk's consistent April pace of 25-35 daily posts, punctuated by spikes like 38 on April 27 amid his high-profile OpenAI trial testimony and 43 on April 23 amid viral engagements. Skin-in-the-game bettors see the range as locked barring an anomalous final-hour tweet storm exceeding 56 posts or a drastic slowdown under 17, both diverging sharply from his established posting rhythm and cultural event responsiveness.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$13,435,343Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026 at 97.2% implied probability, driven by xTracker data logging approximately 1023 non-reply posts as of late April 30, leaving mere hours for the month to close. This aligns with Musk's consistent April pace of 25-35 daily posts, punctuated by spikes like 38 on April 27 amid his high-profile OpenAI trial testimony and 43 on April 23 amid viral engagements. Skin-in-the-game bettors see the range as locked barring an anomalous final-hour tweet storm exceeding 56 posts or a drastic slowdown under 17, both diverging sharply from his established posting rhythm and cultural event responsiveness.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$13,435,343Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026 at 97.2% implied probability, driven by xTracker data logging approximately 1023 non-reply posts as of late April 30, leaving mere hours for the month to close. This aligns with Musk's consistent April pace of 25-35 daily posts, punctuated by spikes like 38 on April 27 amid his high-profile OpenAI trial testimony and 43 on April 23 amid viral engagements. Skin-in-the-game bettors see the range as locked barring an anomalous final-hour tweet storm exceeding 56 posts or a drastic slowdown under 17, both diverging sharply from his established posting rhythm and cultural event responsiveness.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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