Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting exhaustive real-time tracking by bettors leveraging daily tallies and resolved weekly markets that align with his steady mid-30s-per-day pace. Recent catalysts include peak activity like 78 posts on April 25 amid viral political commentary and SpaceX announcements, alongside consistent engagement on platform upgrades and cultural flashpoints through April 30. This skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds solidifies the frontrunner, though an upset could arise from an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 100 posts today—unlikely given his observed daily highs around 70-80 and the month's impending close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1040-1079 97.4%
1080-1119 1.7%
1120-1159 <1%
1000-1039 <1%
$13,435,010 Vol.
$13,435,010 Vol.
1 may 2026
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
97%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1040-1079 97.4%
1080-1119 1.7%
1120-1159 <1%
1000-1039 <1%
$13,435,010 Vol.
$13,435,010 Vol.
1 may 2026
1000-1039
$461,361 Vol.
<1%
1040-1079
$563,507 Vol.
97%
1080-1119
$526,633 Vol.
2%
1120-1159
$545,927 Vol.
<1%
1160-1199
$1,012,133 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$484,546 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$210,871 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$228,246 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$336,291 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$266,299 Vol.
<1%
1400-1439
$588,788 Vol.
<1%
1440-1479
$135,165 Vol.
<1%
1480-1519
$118,357 Vol.
<1%
1520-1559
$129,434 Vol.
<1%
1560-1599
$148,253 Vol.
<1%
1600-1679
$133,420 Vol.
<1%
1680-1759
$177,484 Vol.
<1%
1760-1839
$132,715 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$182,603 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$61,808 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$50,133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting exhaustive real-time tracking by bettors leveraging daily tallies and resolved weekly markets that align with his steady mid-30s-per-day pace. Recent catalysts include peak activity like 78 posts on April 25 amid viral political commentary and SpaceX announcements, alongside consistent engagement on platform upgrades and cultural flashpoints through April 30. This skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds solidifies the frontrunner, though an upset could arise from an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 100 posts today—unlikely given his observed daily highs around 70-80 and the month's impending close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$13,435,010Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting exhaustive real-time tracking by bettors leveraging daily tallies and resolved weekly markets that align with his steady mid-30s-per-day pace. Recent catalysts include peak activity like 78 posts on April 25 amid viral political commentary and SpaceX announcements, alongside consistent engagement on platform upgrades and cultural flashpoints through April 30. This skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds solidifies the frontrunner, though an upset could arise from an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 100 posts today—unlikely given his observed daily highs around 70-80 and the month's impending close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$13,435,010Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.4% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, reflecting exhaustive real-time tracking by bettors leveraging daily tallies and resolved weekly markets that align with his steady mid-30s-per-day pace. Recent catalysts include peak activity like 78 posts on April 25 amid viral political commentary and SpaceX announcements, alongside consistent engagement on platform upgrades and cultural flashpoints through April 30. This skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds solidifies the frontrunner, though an upset could arise from an unprecedented final-hour spree exceeding 100 posts today—unlikely given his observed daily highs around 70-80 and the month's impending close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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