Trader consensus on Polymarket pins an overwhelming 77.5% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by his steady ~35 tweets-per-day pace amid viral cultural flashpoints like the OpenAI lawsuit testimony that spiked output to 56 posts on April 27 and SpaceX Falcon Heavy booster successes fueling 78 posts on April 25. With 1023 confirmed posts as of late April 29 per real-time trackers, the month-end sprint on April 30 positions this range as the skin-in-the-game favorite, though a subdued final day could slide into the 22.4% 1000-1039 bin; higher buckets linger at <1% absent unforeseen frenzy, underscoring Musk's unpredictable yet pattern-bound social media dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1040-1079 81.4%
1000-1039 18.9%
1080-1119 <1%
1120-1159 <1%
$12,984,559 Vol.
$12,984,559 Vol.
1 may 2026
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
19%
1040-1079
81%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1040-1079 81.4%
1000-1039 18.9%
1080-1119 <1%
1120-1159 <1%
$12,984,559 Vol.
$12,984,559 Vol.
1 may 2026
960-999
$216,414 Vol.
<1%
1000-1039
$287,286 Vol.
19%
1040-1079
$534,766 Vol.
81%
1080-1119
$484,834 Vol.
1%
1120-1159
$533,629 Vol.
<1%
1160-1199
$997,991 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$471,872 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$195,926 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$221,231 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$324,422 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$257,619 Vol.
<1%
1400-1439
$586,275 Vol.
<1%
1440-1479
$128,082 Vol.
<1%
1480-1519
$113,493 Vol.
<1%
1520-1559
$122,350 Vol.
<1%
1560-1599
$141,320 Vol.
<1%
1600-1679
$126,227 Vol.
<1%
1680-1759
$172,510 Vol.
<1%
1760-1839
$126,672 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$177,380 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$55,805 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$47,173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins an overwhelming 77.5% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by his steady ~35 tweets-per-day pace amid viral cultural flashpoints like the OpenAI lawsuit testimony that spiked output to 56 posts on April 27 and SpaceX Falcon Heavy booster successes fueling 78 posts on April 25. With 1023 confirmed posts as of late April 29 per real-time trackers, the month-end sprint on April 30 positions this range as the skin-in-the-game favorite, though a subdued final day could slide into the 22.4% 1000-1039 bin; higher buckets linger at <1% absent unforeseen frenzy, underscoring Musk's unpredictable yet pattern-bound social media dominance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$12,984,559Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins an overwhelming 77.5% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by his steady ~35 tweets-per-day pace amid viral cultural flashpoints like the OpenAI lawsuit testimony that spiked output to 56 posts on April 27 and SpaceX Falcon Heavy booster successes fueling 78 posts on April 25. With 1023 confirmed posts as of late April 29 per real-time trackers, the month-end sprint on April 30 positions this range as the skin-in-the-game favorite, though a subdued final day could slide into the 22.4% 1000-1039 bin; higher buckets linger at <1% absent unforeseen frenzy, underscoring Musk's unpredictable yet pattern-bound social media dominance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$12,984,559Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins an overwhelming 77.5% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 1040-1079 times on X in April 2026, driven by his steady ~35 tweets-per-day pace amid viral cultural flashpoints like the OpenAI lawsuit testimony that spiked output to 56 posts on April 27 and SpaceX Falcon Heavy booster successes fueling 78 posts on April 25. With 1023 confirmed posts as of late April 29 per real-time trackers, the month-end sprint on April 30 positions this range as the skin-in-the-game favorite, though a subdued final day could slide into the 22.4% 1000-1039 bin; higher buckets linger at <1% absent unforeseen frenzy, underscoring Musk's unpredictable yet pattern-bound social media dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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