President Trump directed Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in February 2026 to initiate review and declassification of government files on UFOs and unidentified aerial phenomena, building on prior transparency pledges. At a Turning Point USA event on April 17, he revealed the process uncovered "many very interesting documents" from credible military pilots, stating initial releases would begin "very, very soon." As of late April, no new files have been publicly declassified, with trader consensus reflecting anticipation of imminent executive action amid reports of potential interagency hurdles like Pentagon concerns over public reaction. Upcoming disclosures could resolve markets tied to specific dates, though declassification timelines often involve review for national security.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$440,187 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
April 30
3%
May 31
51%
December 31
83%
$440,187 Vol.
April 30
$254,106 Vol.
3%
May 31
$350 Vol.
51%
December 31
$61,579 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump directed Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in February 2026 to initiate review and declassification of government files on UFOs and unidentified aerial phenomena, building on prior transparency pledges. At a Turning Point USA event on April 17, he revealed the process uncovered "many very interesting documents" from credible military pilots, stating initial releases would begin "very, very soon." As of late April, no new files have been publicly declassified, with trader consensus reflecting anticipation of imminent executive action amid reports of potential interagency hurdles like Pentagon concerns over public reaction. Upcoming disclosures could resolve markets tied to specific dates, though declassification timelines often involve review for national security.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Volume
$440,187End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump directed Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in February 2026 to initiate review and declassification of government files on UFOs and unidentified aerial phenomena, building on prior transparency pledges. At a Turning Point USA event on April 17, he revealed the process uncovered "many very interesting documents" from credible military pilots, stating initial releases would begin "very, very soon." As of late April, no new files have been publicly declassified, with trader consensus reflecting anticipation of imminent executive action amid reports of potential interagency hurdles like Pentagon concerns over public reaction. Upcoming disclosures could resolve markets tied to specific dates, though declassification timelines often involve review for national security.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$440,187End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump directed Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in February 2026 to initiate review and declassification of government files on UFOs and unidentified aerial phenomena, building on prior transparency pledges. At a Turning Point USA event on April 17, he revealed the process uncovered "many very interesting documents" from credible military pilots, stating initial releases would begin "very, very soon." As of late April, no new files have been publicly declassified, with trader consensus reflecting anticipation of imminent executive action amid reports of potential interagency hurdles like Pentagon concerns over public reaction. Upcoming disclosures could resolve markets tied to specific dates, though declassification timelines often involve review for national security.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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