Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism that NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani will secure a rent freeze for stabilized apartments before 2027, with "No" shares trading at 74%, driven by intensifying landlord opposition and procedural hurdles at the Rent Guidelines Board (RGB). Despite Mamdani appointing six of nine RGB members and data showing landlord net operating income rose 6% last year, recent "rental ripoff hearings" launched April 29 drew criticism as biased tenant advocacy, potentially alienating board holdouts. A preliminary RGB vote looms in early May ahead of the June final decision for the October 2026–September 2027 cycle, but fraught appointee records, small landlord distress claims, and historical rarity of freezes (last in 2015) underpin doubts over passage amid legal and economic pushback.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$253,792 Vol.
$253,792 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$253,792 Vol.
$253,792 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism that NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani will secure a rent freeze for stabilized apartments before 2027, with "No" shares trading at 74%, driven by intensifying landlord opposition and procedural hurdles at the Rent Guidelines Board (RGB). Despite Mamdani appointing six of nine RGB members and data showing landlord net operating income rose 6% last year, recent "rental ripoff hearings" launched April 29 drew criticism as biased tenant advocacy, potentially alienating board holdouts. A preliminary RGB vote looms in early May ahead of the June final decision for the October 2026–September 2027 cycle, but fraught appointee records, small landlord distress claims, and historical rarity of freezes (last in 2015) underpin doubts over passage amid legal and economic pushback.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Market Opened: Nov 3, 2025, 9:21 PM ET
Volume
$253,792End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 3, 2025, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism that NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani will secure a rent freeze for stabilized apartments before 2027, with "No" shares trading at 74%, driven by intensifying landlord opposition and procedural hurdles at the Rent Guidelines Board (RGB). Despite Mamdani appointing six of nine RGB members and data showing landlord net operating income rose 6% last year, recent "rental ripoff hearings" launched April 29 drew criticism as biased tenant advocacy, potentially alienating board holdouts. A preliminary RGB vote looms in early May ahead of the June final decision for the October 2026–September 2027 cycle, but fraught appointee records, small landlord distress claims, and historical rarity of freezes (last in 2015) underpin doubts over passage amid legal and economic pushback.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Volume
$253,792End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 3, 2025, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism that NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani will secure a rent freeze for stabilized apartments before 2027, with "No" shares trading at 74%, driven by intensifying landlord opposition and procedural hurdles at the Rent Guidelines Board (RGB). Despite Mamdani appointing six of nine RGB members and data showing landlord net operating income rose 6% last year, recent "rental ripoff hearings" launched April 29 drew criticism as biased tenant advocacy, potentially alienating board holdouts. A preliminary RGB vote looms in early May ahead of the June final decision for the October 2026–September 2027 cycle, but fraught appointee records, small landlord distress claims, and historical rarity of freezes (last in 2015) underpin doubts over passage amid legal and economic pushback.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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