**Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026 after campaigning on a rent freeze for roughly one million rent-stabilized units, secured a board majority through six Rent Guidelines Board appointments in February.** The final RGB decision scheduled for June 25, 2026, will set guidelines effective October 2026 through September 2027, leaving the precise scope and durability of any freeze subject to board compromise and economic data. A preliminary May vote allowed 0–2% increases for one-year leases, while Mamdani’s administration has proposed targeted exemptions permitting one-time hikes on certain vacant units held by distressed landlords. These steps, alongside the mayor’s broader “Block by Block” housing production agenda emphasizing new construction and preservation over a strict zero-increase policy, have shaped trader expectations that the RGB will not deliver the exact 0.0% outcome required for market resolution before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$258,044 Vol.
$258,044 Vol.
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$258,044 Vol.
$258,044 Vol.
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Mercado abierto: Nov 3, 2025, 9:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.
Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026 after campaigning on a rent freeze for roughly one million rent-stabilized units, secured a board majority through six Rent Guidelines Board appointments in February.** The final RGB decision scheduled for June 25, 2026, will set guidelines effective October 2026 through September 2027, leaving the precise scope and durability of any freeze subject to board compromise and economic data. A preliminary May vote allowed 0–2% increases for one-year leases, while Mamdani’s administration has proposed targeted exemptions permitting one-time hikes on certain vacant units held by distressed landlords. These steps, alongside the mayor’s broader “Block by Block” housing production agenda emphasizing new construction and preservation over a strict zero-increase policy, have shaped trader expectations that the RGB will not deliver the exact 0.0% outcome required for market resolution before 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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