Christopher Nolan’s star-studded July 2026 release *The Odyssey* leads trader sentiment at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its expected haul across directing, acting, screenplay, and a broad slate of craft categories following the director’s recent Best Picture success. Dune: Messiah sits at 29.5% on the strength of anticipated technical dominance in visual effects, production design, and cinematography, though its late-December release and franchise context temper expectations for overall volume. Project Hail Mary, Disclosure Day, and The Social Reckoning trail at single-digit odds, reflecting solid but narrower precursor support and fewer projected categories. Key upcoming catalysts include summer tracking data, fall festival reactions, and guild nominations that historically signal which contender accumulates the most nods by early 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 53%
Dune: Messiah 30%
Project Hail Mary 5.4%
The Social Reckoning 5.4%
$20,508 Vol.
$20,508 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
53%
Dune: Messiah
30%
Project Hail Mary
5%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Disclosure Day
5%
Wild Horse Nine
4%
Wuthering Heights
2%
The Bride!
1%
The Odyssey 53%
Dune: Messiah 30%
Project Hail Mary 5.4%
The Social Reckoning 5.4%
$20,508 Vol.
$20,508 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
$6,045 Vol.
53%
Dune: Messiah
$3,783 Vol.
30%
Project Hail Mary
$2,612 Vol.
5%
The Social Reckoning
$842 Vol.
5%
Disclosure Day
$3,086 Vol.
5%
Wild Horse Nine
$795 Vol.
4%
Wuthering Heights
$1,897 Vol.
2%
The Bride!
$1,448 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s star-studded July 2026 release *The Odyssey* leads trader sentiment at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its expected haul across directing, acting, screenplay, and a broad slate of craft categories following the director’s recent Best Picture success. Dune: Messiah sits at 29.5% on the strength of anticipated technical dominance in visual effects, production design, and cinematography, though its late-December release and franchise context temper expectations for overall volume. Project Hail Mary, Disclosure Day, and The Social Reckoning trail at single-digit odds, reflecting solid but narrower precursor support and fewer projected categories. Key upcoming catalysts include summer tracking data, fall festival reactions, and guild nominations that historically signal which contender accumulates the most nods by early 2027.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$20,508End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s star-studded July 2026 release *The Odyssey* leads trader sentiment at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its expected haul across directing, acting, screenplay, and a broad slate of craft categories following the director’s recent Best Picture success. Dune: Messiah sits at 29.5% on the strength of anticipated technical dominance in visual effects, production design, and cinematography, though its late-December release and franchise context temper expectations for overall volume. Project Hail Mary, Disclosure Day, and The Social Reckoning trail at single-digit odds, reflecting solid but narrower precursor support and fewer projected categories. Key upcoming catalysts include summer tracking data, fall festival reactions, and guild nominations that historically signal which contender accumulates the most nods by early 2027.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,508End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s star-studded July 2026 release *The Odyssey* leads trader sentiment at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its expected haul across directing, acting, screenplay, and a broad slate of craft categories following the director’s recent Best Picture success. Dune: Messiah sits at 29.5% on the strength of anticipated technical dominance in visual effects, production design, and cinematography, though its late-December release and franchise context temper expectations for overall volume. Project Hail Mary, Disclosure Day, and The Social Reckoning trail at single-digit odds, reflecting solid but narrower precursor support and fewer projected categories. Key upcoming catalysts include summer tracking data, fall festival reactions, and guild nominations that historically signal which contender accumulates the most nods by early 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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