Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 48.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive CinemaCon footage unveiled April 15 showcasing the full-IMAX-shot Trojan Horse sequence and Charlize Theron's Calypso, amplifying Nolan's post-Oppenheimer sweep momentum with its star ensemble including Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Tom Holland. Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights holds steady at 31.9% on early critical buzz from its February release and Margot Robbie's campaign potential, while Ryan Gosling's box-office juggernaut Project Hail Mary (nearing $600M worldwide as of April 19) drives 22.4% via strong legs and performance raves. Dune: Messiah trails at 15.5% on franchise goodwill ahead of its December bow; traders eye guild precursors and fall festivals as key swing factors in this fluid race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 57%
Wuthering Heights 23.8%
Dune: Messiah 16%
Disclosure Day 13%
$16,318 Vol.
$16,318 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
57%
Wuthering Heights
24%
Dune: Messiah
16%
Disclosure Day
13%
Project Hail Mary
20%
The Bride!
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Wild Horse Nine
<1%
The Odyssey 57%
Wuthering Heights 23.8%
Dune: Messiah 16%
Disclosure Day 13%
$16,318 Vol.
$16,318 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
$5,042 Vol.
57%
Wuthering Heights
$1,523 Vol.
24%
Dune: Messiah
$2,955 Vol.
16%
Disclosure Day
$2,662 Vol.
13%
Project Hail Mary
$2,295 Vol.
20%
The Bride!
$1,320 Vol.
<1%
The Social Reckoning
$240 Vol.
<1%
Wild Horse Nine
$281 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 48.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive CinemaCon footage unveiled April 15 showcasing the full-IMAX-shot Trojan Horse sequence and Charlize Theron's Calypso, amplifying Nolan's post-Oppenheimer sweep momentum with its star ensemble including Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Tom Holland. Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights holds steady at 31.9% on early critical buzz from its February release and Margot Robbie's campaign potential, while Ryan Gosling's box-office juggernaut Project Hail Mary (nearing $600M worldwide as of April 19) drives 22.4% via strong legs and performance raves. Dune: Messiah trails at 15.5% on franchise goodwill ahead of its December bow; traders eye guild precursors and fall festivals as key swing factors in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$16,318End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 48.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive CinemaCon footage unveiled April 15 showcasing the full-IMAX-shot Trojan Horse sequence and Charlize Theron's Calypso, amplifying Nolan's post-Oppenheimer sweep momentum with its star ensemble including Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Tom Holland. Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights holds steady at 31.9% on early critical buzz from its February release and Margot Robbie's campaign potential, while Ryan Gosling's box-office juggernaut Project Hail Mary (nearing $600M worldwide as of April 19) drives 22.4% via strong legs and performance raves. Dune: Messiah trails at 15.5% on franchise goodwill ahead of its December bow; traders eye guild precursors and fall festivals as key swing factors in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,318End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 48.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive CinemaCon footage unveiled April 15 showcasing the full-IMAX-shot Trojan Horse sequence and Charlize Theron's Calypso, amplifying Nolan's post-Oppenheimer sweep momentum with its star ensemble including Matt Damon, Anne Hathaway, and Tom Holland. Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights holds steady at 31.9% on early critical buzz from its February release and Margot Robbie's campaign potential, while Ryan Gosling's box-office juggernaut Project Hail Mary (nearing $600M worldwide as of April 19) drives 22.4% via strong legs and performance raves. Dune: Messiah trails at 15.5% on franchise goodwill ahead of its December bow; traders eye guild precursors and fall festivals as key swing factors in this fluid race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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